MLB Prediction: Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros (Friday, August 29 at 08:10 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | LAA | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +150 | -179 |
| Total (O/U) | 9.0 | |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-140) | -1.5 (120) |
| Last 5 RPG | 2.8 | 4.0 |
| Record | 62–71 | 73–60 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Los Angeles Angels · Houston Astros
The Astros have split their last 10 games at 5-5 while the Angels have stumbled to 1-4 in their last five, setting up a sharp MLB prediction angle on this divisional matchup. Despite Houston Astros’ stronger record, their recent 3.9 runs per game over the last 10 contests is hardly dominant, and the Angels’ lineup still features multiple 20+ home run bats capable of swinging tight contests. With both clubs trending below the posted total in recent scoring pace, the value leans firmly toward Los Angeles on the moneyline and the Under on the total.
Game Time
Scheduled for Friday, August 29 at 08:10 PM ET inside Minute Maid Park, pull-side power plays up.
Odds & Spread Line
- Los Angeles Angels: +150
- Houston Astros: -179
Total: 9
- Run Line — Los Angeles Angels: +1.5 (-140)
- Run Line — Houston Astros: -1.5 (+120)
Latest Team Records
Los Angeles Angels: 62-71 (Win %: 0.466)
Houston Astros: 73-60 (Win %: 0.549)
Injury Report
The Los Angeles Angels are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Houston Astros are missing Bennett Sousa (Elbow), listed as 15-Day-IL; Brandon Walter (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL; Pedro Leon (Knee), listed as 60-Day-IL; Josh Hader (Shoulder), listed as 15-Day-IL. No other significant injuries are reported.
Key Player Stats
Los Angeles Angels
- Taylor Ward: 0.232 AVG, 30 HR, 94 RBI
- Jo Adell: 0.235 AVG, 30 HR, 82 RBI
- Zach Neto: 0.27 AVG, 23 HR, 58 RBI
Houston Astros
- Jose Altuve: 0.273 AVG, 22 HR, 64 RBI
- Jeremy Pena: 0.307 AVG, 14 HR, 50 RBI
- Christian Walker: 0.235 AVG, 19 HR, 72 RBI
Team Analysis
Los Angeles Angels
The Angels enter this matchup at 1-4 in their last 5 games and 3-7 across their last 10, signaling a slump that has kept their scoring pace at just 2.8 runs per game recently. Despite that, their road form has produced competitive stretches this season, and their power core gives them the ability to convert limited opportunities into decisive runs. Taylor Ward’s run production remains a stabilizing factor, positioning the Angels as a live underdog even against stronger records.
Jo Adell’s 30-homer power adds another dimension to this lineup, and Zach Neto’s consistency at the plate gives them a balanced approach that can punish mistakes. The Angels’ offensive inconsistency has been tied to streaks of low scoring, but their ability to deliver in high-leverage moments makes them a dangerous underdog. With the Astros showing only average output in recent games, the Angels’ ceiling gives them the path to an upset.
- Batting Average: 0.23
- Total Runs Scored: 574
- Home Runs: 188
- OBP: 0.303
- SLG: 0.405
- OPS: 0.708
- ERA: 4.81
- WHIP: 1.44
Away Record: 28-36 • Home Record: 34-35
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (2.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 3-7 (3.4 RPG)
Houston Astros
The Astros have managed a 3-2 record in their last 5 games and are 5-5 over the last 10, producing 3.9 runs per game in that stretch. While Jose Altuve continues to anchor the top of the order, the overall scoring rate has been middling and leaves them vulnerable to teams that can capitalize on limited scoring chances. Their home record is strong, but the recent trend reflects inconsistency rather than dominance.
Jeremy Pena’s reliable contact has helped balance the lineup, while Christian Walker’s power adds punch, yet the Astros have not translated those individual numbers into sustained offensive surges. With an ERA advantage, their pitching has carried more weight than their bats in recent games, which keeps total runs lower. Against an Angels team with power threats, this reliance on pitchers over scoring output creates a pathway for an upset.
- Batting Average: 0.253
- Total Runs Scored: 565
- Home Runs: 148
- OBP: 0.318
- SLG: 0.401
- OPS: 0.72
- ERA: 3.87
- WHIP: 1.22
Away Record: 34-32 • Home Record: 40-28
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (4.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (3.9 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Houston Astros lead 4–2 (Last 6 games)
- June 22, 2025: HOU 8 @ LAA 7
- June 21, 2025: HOU 1 @ LAA 9
- June 20, 2025: HOU 3 @ LAA 2
- April 13, 2025: LAA 3 @ HOU 7
- April 12, 2025: LAA 4 @ HOU 1
- April 11, 2025: LAA 3 @ HOU 14
Over/Under Trends
Los Angeles Angels’ last 10 games have averaged 9.6 total runs, with 5 games that would have cleared today’s total of 9.
Houston Astros’ last 10 games have averaged 8.6 combined runs, with 3 games clearing the same number of 9.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
The Angels’ recent struggles mask their upside, as their power bats give them the ability to change games quickly while Houston Astros’ offense has been average at best over the last 10. With the Astros relying heavily on pitching and the Angels’ lineup built for run conversion in tight spots, Los Angeles is positioned to deliver the upset on the road.
We rate the Los Angeles Angels at +150 as the right side at current form.
Over/Under Prediction
Recent five-game scoring: the Houston Astros are at 4.0 RPG and the Los Angeles Angels at 2.8 — a useful baseline against the total.
These teams are combining for 6.8 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 9.0. That points toward the Under 9.0.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Aug 29, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
