Prediction Details

MLB Prediction: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins (Tuesday, August 26 at 06:40 PM ET)

Introduction

Updated

ATL @ MIAATL -120MIA +109O/U 8.0
Market / Trend ATL MIA
Moneyline -120 +109
Total (O/U) 8.0
Run Line -1.5 (148) +1.5 (-175)
Last 5 RPG 3.0 4.2
Record 59–71 61–69
Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetUS, Bovada +6 more

More MLB picks: Atlanta Braves · Miami Marlins

The Braves enter this matchup analysis having averaged just 3.0 runs per game in their last five, while Miami has managed 4.2, setting a clear tone for how scoring has trended. Atlanta Braves’ offense has been inconsistent, yet their 6-4 mark over the last 10 shows they handle stretches of pressure better than Miami Marlins’ 4-6 skid. With head-to-head control and sharper recent efficiency, this MLB prediction leans firmly toward Atlanta pulling out a win in a lower-scoring contest.

Game Time

Starts in 17h 12m

First pitch is set for Tuesday, August 26 at 06:40 PM ET at loanDepot Park, totals stay conservative under the roof.

Odds & Spread Line

  • Atlanta Braves: -120
  • Miami Marlins: +109

Total: 8

  • Run Line — Atlanta Braves: -1.5 (+148)
  • Run Line — Miami Marlins: +1.5 (-175)

Latest Team Records

Atlanta Braves: 59-71 (Win %: 0.454)
Miami Marlins: 61-69 (Win %: 0.469)

Injury Report

Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Atlanta Braves

  • Matt Olson: 0.265 AVG, 19 HR, 72 RBI
  • Michael Harris II: 0.253 AVG, 16 HR, 68 RBI
  • Ronald Acuna Jr.: 0.304 AVG, 15 HR, 30 RBI

Miami Marlins

  • Kyle Stowers: 0.288 AVG, 25 HR, 73 RBI
  • Agustin Ramirez: 0.232 AVG, 18 HR, 57 RBI
  • Otto Lopez: 0.24 AVG, 11 HR, 59 RBI

Team Analysis

Atlanta Braves

The Braves’ last 5 Games: 2-3 (3.0 RPG) reflect inconsistency, with the offense struggling to string together production. However, over their last 10 Games: 6-4 (5.2 RPG), they have shown the ability to rebound quickly, which is critical in tight series. Matt Olson’s power and Ronald Acuna Jr.’s ability to get on base provide the lineup with the tools to break through even when recent scoring dips.

Atlanta Braves’ away form at 26-39 is concerning, but their ability to win six of the last ten despite inconsistent run totals highlights resilience. Michael Harris II adds balance by driving in runs consistently, preventing prolonged scoring droughts. The Braves’ bullpen and mid-game adjustments have also allowed them to stay competitive even when offensive output is limited early.

  • Batting Average: 0.244
  • Total Runs Scored: 570
  • Home Runs: 144
  • OBP: 0.32
  • SLG: 0.393
  • OPS: 0.713
  • ERA: 4.38
  • WHIP: 1.31

Away Record: 26-39 • Home Record: 33-33
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (3.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (5.2 RPG)


Miami Marlins

The Marlins’ Last 5 Games: 3-2 (4.2 RPG) show slightly better stability than Atlanta Braves’ short-term line, but their Last 10 Games: 4-6 (3.9 RPG) reveal a longer slide. Kyle Stowers has been the most reliable bat, but the supporting lineup has lacked consistency, limiting their chances to extend leads. Playing at home has not delivered a major edge with a 31-35 record, keeping their outlook neutral.

Agustin Ramirez and Otto Lopez provide occasional sparks, yet Miami Marlins’ inability to sustain run production makes them vulnerable in close contests. Their bullpen numbers remain beatable, and when the offense dips below four runs, they rarely close games out. The Marlins’ home inconsistency aligns with Atlanta Braves’ head-to-head edge, making them a weaker side in this spot.

  • Batting Average: 0.25
  • Total Runs Scored: 562
  • Home Runs: 127
  • OBP: 0.314
  • SLG: 0.395
  • OPS: 0.709
  • ERA: 4.5
  • WHIP: 1.29

Away Record: 31-34 • Home Record: 31-35
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (4.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (3.9 RPG)


Head-to-Head History

Atlanta Braves lead 5–3 (Last 8 games)

  • August 25, 2025: ATL 1 @ MIA 2
  • August 10, 2025: MIA 1 @ ATL 7
  • August 09, 2025: MIA 6 @ ATL 8
  • August 09, 2025: MIA 1 @ ATL 7
  • August 08, 2025: MIA 5 @ ATL 1
  • August 07, 2025: MIA 6 @ ATL 8
  • June 22, 2025: ATL 3 @ MIA 5
  • June 21, 2025: ATL 7 @ MIA 0

Over/Under Trends

Atlanta Braves’ last 10 games have averaged 10.6 total runs, with 6 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.

Miami Marlins’ last 10 games have averaged 8.4 combined runs, with 4 games clearing the same number of 8.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Atlanta Braves’ stronger 6-4 stretch across their last 10 games, combined with a 5-3 head-to-head edge in recent meetings, emphasizes their advantage in this matchup. With Ronald Acuna Jr. setting the tone on the bases and Matt Olson anchoring run production, the Braves’ lineup is better equipped to capitalize against Miami Marlins’ wavering home form.

Confidence sits with the Atlanta Braves based on recent profiles.

Over/Under Prediction

In their last five, the Miami Marlins have produced 4.2 RPG and the Atlanta Braves 3.0. That output frames how this total sets up.

These teams are combining for 7.2 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 8.0. That points toward the Under 8.0.

Bookmakers

Odds courtesy of: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, Bovada, Fanatics, BetMGM, BetUS.

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MLB Predictions FAQ

What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?

Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.

What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Aug 26, 2025)?

We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.

John Tamburino

John TamburinoVerified

Lead Analyst — data-first, former college baseball.

John Tamburino grew up on travel baseball and three years of varsity basketball, then played college baseball before shifting to analytics. He still watches everything—from weekday tennis to UFC—and will never forget the Diamondbacks’ 2001 run. At Parlamaz, John blends trusted data feeds with matchup context to find real value—no fluff, no paywalls.