- August 25, 2025
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MLB Prediction: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins (Tuesday, August 26 at 06:40 PM ET)
Introduction
Market / Trend | ATL | MIA |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | -120 | +109 |
Total (O/U) | 8.0 | |
Run Line | -1.5 (148) | +1.5 (-175) |
Last 5 RPG | 3.0 | 4.2 |
Record | 59–71 | 61–69 |
Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetUS, Bovada +6 more |
More MLB picks: Atlanta Braves · Miami Marlins
The Braves enter this matchup analysis having averaged just 3.0 runs per game in their last five, while Miami has managed 4.2, setting a clear tone for how scoring has trended. Atlanta Braves’ offense has been inconsistent, yet their 6-4 mark over the last 10 shows they handle stretches of pressure better than Miami Marlins’ 4-6 skid. With head-to-head control and sharper recent efficiency, this MLB prediction leans firmly toward Atlanta pulling out a win in a lower-scoring contest.
Game Time
First pitch is set for Tuesday, August 26 at 06:40 PM ET at loanDepot Park, totals stay conservative under the roof.
Odds & Spread Line
- Atlanta Braves: -120
- Miami Marlins: +109
Total: 8
- Run Line — Atlanta Braves: -1.5 (+148)
- Run Line — Miami Marlins: +1.5 (-175)
Latest Team Records
Atlanta Braves: 59-71 (Win %: 0.454)
Miami Marlins: 61-69 (Win %: 0.469)
Injury Report
Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Atlanta Braves
- Matt Olson: 0.265 AVG, 19 HR, 72 RBI
- Michael Harris II: 0.253 AVG, 16 HR, 68 RBI
- Ronald Acuna Jr.: 0.304 AVG, 15 HR, 30 RBI
Miami Marlins
- Kyle Stowers: 0.288 AVG, 25 HR, 73 RBI
- Agustin Ramirez: 0.232 AVG, 18 HR, 57 RBI
- Otto Lopez: 0.24 AVG, 11 HR, 59 RBI
Team Analysis
Atlanta Braves
The Braves’ last 5 Games: 2-3 (3.0 RPG) reflect inconsistency, with the offense struggling to string together production. However, over their last 10 Games: 6-4 (5.2 RPG), they have shown the ability to rebound quickly, which is critical in tight series. Matt Olson’s power and Ronald Acuna Jr.’s ability to get on base provide the lineup with the tools to break through even when recent scoring dips.
Atlanta Braves’ away form at 26-39 is concerning, but their ability to win six of the last ten despite inconsistent run totals highlights resilience. Michael Harris II adds balance by driving in runs consistently, preventing prolonged scoring droughts. The Braves’ bullpen and mid-game adjustments have also allowed them to stay competitive even when offensive output is limited early.
- Batting Average: 0.244
- Total Runs Scored: 570
- Home Runs: 144
- OBP: 0.32
- SLG: 0.393
- OPS: 0.713
- ERA: 4.38
- WHIP: 1.31
Away Record: 26-39 • Home Record: 33-33
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (3.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (5.2 RPG)
Miami Marlins
The Marlins’ Last 5 Games: 3-2 (4.2 RPG) show slightly better stability than Atlanta Braves’ short-term line, but their Last 10 Games: 4-6 (3.9 RPG) reveal a longer slide. Kyle Stowers has been the most reliable bat, but the supporting lineup has lacked consistency, limiting their chances to extend leads. Playing at home has not delivered a major edge with a 31-35 record, keeping their outlook neutral.
Agustin Ramirez and Otto Lopez provide occasional sparks, yet Miami Marlins’ inability to sustain run production makes them vulnerable in close contests. Their bullpen numbers remain beatable, and when the offense dips below four runs, they rarely close games out. The Marlins’ home inconsistency aligns with Atlanta Braves’ head-to-head edge, making them a weaker side in this spot.
- Batting Average: 0.25
- Total Runs Scored: 562
- Home Runs: 127
- OBP: 0.314
- SLG: 0.395
- OPS: 0.709
- ERA: 4.5
- WHIP: 1.29
Away Record: 31-34 • Home Record: 31-35
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (4.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (3.9 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Atlanta Braves lead 5–3 (Last 8 games)
- August 25, 2025: ATL 1 @ MIA 2
- August 10, 2025: MIA 1 @ ATL 7
- August 09, 2025: MIA 6 @ ATL 8
- August 09, 2025: MIA 1 @ ATL 7
- August 08, 2025: MIA 5 @ ATL 1
- August 07, 2025: MIA 6 @ ATL 8
- June 22, 2025: ATL 3 @ MIA 5
- June 21, 2025: ATL 7 @ MIA 0
Over/Under Trends
Atlanta Braves’ last 10 games have averaged 10.6 total runs, with 6 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.
Miami Marlins’ last 10 games have averaged 8.4 combined runs, with 4 games clearing the same number of 8.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Atlanta Braves’ stronger 6-4 stretch across their last 10 games, combined with a 5-3 head-to-head edge in recent meetings, emphasizes their advantage in this matchup. With Ronald Acuna Jr. setting the tone on the bases and Matt Olson anchoring run production, the Braves’ lineup is better equipped to capitalize against Miami Marlins’ wavering home form.
Confidence sits with the Atlanta Braves based on recent profiles.
Over/Under Prediction
In their last five, the Miami Marlins have produced 4.2 RPG and the Atlanta Braves 3.0. That output frames how this total sets up.
These teams are combining for 7.2 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 8.0. That points toward the Under 8.0.
Bookmakers
Odds courtesy of: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, Bovada, Fanatics, BetMGM, BetUS.
Parlamaz may earn affiliate commissions from links in this article.
MLB Predictions FAQ
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Aug 26, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.

John TamburinoVerified
Lead Analyst — data-first, former college baseball.
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