MLB Prediction: Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles (Sunday, August 24 at 01:35 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | HOU | BAL |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +118 | -141 |
| Total (O/U) | 9.0 | |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-170) | -1.5 (143) |
| Last 5 RPG | 5.6 | 5.4 |
| Record | 72–58 | 59–70 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Houston Astros · Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles’ last 10 games have averaged 5.9 runs per contest, a clear signal this lineup is driving totals upward, making this an appealing MLB prediction spot. The Orioles’ offense has been steady at home, while Houston Astros’ road scoring has been inconsistent despite a winning record overall. With both clubs combining for double-digit runs in recent five-game form, the setup points toward Baltimore asserting control and the total edging higher than the posted number.
Game Time
The action begins at Sunday, August 24 at 01:35 PM ET at Camden Yards, warm air can lift carry to the gaps.
Odds & Spread Line
- Houston Astros: +118
- Baltimore Orioles: -141
Total: 9
- Run Line — Houston Astros: +1.5 (-170)
- Run Line — Baltimore Orioles: -1.5 (+143)
Latest Team Records
Houston Astros: 72-58 (Win %: 0.554)
Baltimore Orioles: 59-70 (Win %: 0.457)
Injury Report
Houston Astros are missing Jake Meyers (Calf), listed as 10-Day-IL; Isaac Paredes (Hamstring), listed as 60-Day-IL.
Baltimore Orioles are missing Cody Poteet (Shoulder), listed as 60-Day-IL; Coby Mayo (Hand), listed as Day-To-Day; Gary Sanchez (Knee), listed as 60-Day-IL; Jordan Westburg (Ankle), listed as 10-Day-IL. No other significant injuries are reported.
Key Player Stats
Houston Astros
- Jose Altuve: 0.275 AVG, 22 HR, 64 RBI
- Jeremy Pena: 0.307 AVG, 14 HR, 49 RBI
- Christian Walker: 0.234 AVG, 18 HR, 70 RBI
Baltimore Orioles
- Gunnar Henderson: 0.281 AVG, 15 HR, 57 RBI
- Jordan Westburg: 0.276 AVG, 15 HR, 34 RBI
- Jackson Holliday: 0.248 AVG, 15 HR, 49 RBI
Team Analysis
Houston Astros
The Astros bring a 72-58 record into this matchup, but their last 10 games at 5-5 with 3.7 runs per game underscore inconsistency at the plate. On the road, a 34-31 record reflects competence but not dominance, leaving them vulnerable against opponents that can string together runs. Jose Altuve has been a steady contributor, yet the team’s overall rhythm has swung between big outbursts and quiet nights, which reduces confidence in their ability to dictate pace away from home.
Recent five-game form at 3-2 with 5.6 runs per game shows flashes of offensive punch, but the inability to sustain that scoring level over a larger sample remains a concern. Jeremy Pena’s contact ability has sparked rallies, while Christian Walker’s power production has provided leverage, though not always translating into consistent run totals. The Astros’ profile suggests volatility, which is a liability against a Baltimore team finding more rhythm at home.
- Batting Average: 0.253
- Total Runs Scored: 549
- Home Runs: 141
- OBP: 0.318
- SLG: 0.4
- OPS: 0.719
- ERA: 3.9
- WHIP: 1.23
Away Record: 34-31 • Home Record: 38-27
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (5.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (3.7 RPG)
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles stand at 59-70, but their last 10 games at 6-4 with 5.9 runs per game show upward momentum offensively. Gunnar Henderson’s production has anchored the lineup, giving Baltimore consistent scoring punch even against stronger pitching staffs. At home, a 30-33 record hints at underperformance, yet recent scoring levels indicate they are turning that around with more sustained output.
In the last five games, Baltimore sits at 2-3 but still maintained 5.4 runs per game, underscoring an offense capable of keeping pace regardless of wins or losses. Jackson Holliday’s run production has boosted middle-order reliability, while even without Jordan Westburg at full health, the team has found balance across the order. This scoring consistency at home makes the Orioles a sharper betting angle, especially against an Astros squad showing volatility.
- Batting Average: 0.241
- Total Runs Scored: 556
- Home Runs: 154
- OBP: 0.307
- SLG: 0.404
- OPS: 0.711
- ERA: 4.69
- WHIP: 1.38
Away Record: 29-37 • Home Record: 30-33
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (5.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (5.9 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Houston Astros lead 4–1 (Last 5 games)
- August 23, 2025: HOU 9 @ BAL 8
- August 22, 2025: HOU 10 @ BAL 7
- August 21, 2025: HOU 7 @ BAL 2
- August 17, 2025: BAL 12 @ HOU 0
- August 16, 2025: BAL 4 @ HOU 5
Over/Under Trends
Houston Astros’ last 10 games have averaged 9.6 total runs, with 4 games that would have cleared today’s total of 9.
Baltimore Orioles’ last 10 games have averaged 10.2 combined runs, with 3 games clearing the same number of 9.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Baltimore Orioles’ recent 6-4 stretch with nearly six runs per game highlights an offense trending upward, while Houston has hovered at league-average scoring with uneven road results. With Gunnar Henderson and Jackson Holliday delivering steady production, the Orioles have shown they can outpace an Astros lineup that lacks consistency away from home. The combination of home-field scoring stability and superior recent offensive form makes Baltimore the more reliable side to back with conviction.
Data supports the Baltimore Orioles as the right side.
Over/Under Prediction
Last five form shows the Baltimore Orioles at 5.4 RPG and the Houston Astros at 5.6, giving context for the number.
These teams are combining for 11.0 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 9.0. That points toward the Over 9.0.
Bookmakers
Odds courtesy of:FanDuel, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, MyBookie.ag, DraftKings, Fanatics, BetMGM, Bovada.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Aug 24, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
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