Prediction Details

MLB Prediction: Chicago Cubs vs Los Angeles Angels (Sunday, August 24 at 04:05 PM ET)

Introduction

Updated

CHC @ LAACHC -143LAA +120O/U 9.5
Market / Trend CHC LAA
Moneyline -143 +120
Total (O/U) 9.5
Run Line -1.5 (110) +1.5 (-130)
Last 5 RPG 4.8 2.0
Record 74–55 61–67
Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more

More MLB picks: Chicago Cubs · Los Angeles Angels

The Cubs enter this interleague matchup against the Angels having averaged 4.8 runs per game across their last five, while Los Angeles has slumped to just 2.0 RPG in that same span. That contrast sets up a sharp MLB prediction angle, as the Cubs’ recent surge collides with the Angels’ need to stabilize at home. Despite Chicago Cubs’ stronger record, the Angels’ situational edge in their own park and the low-scoring trend across both sides point toward the value lying with Los Angeles and the Under.

Game Time

Starts in 14h 34m

Set for Sunday, August 24 at 04:05 PM ET at Angel Stadium, a run-suppressing park that rewards pitching.

Odds & Spread Line

  • Chicago Cubs: -143
  • Los Angeles Angels: +120

Total: 9.5

  • Run Line — Chicago Cubs: -1.5 (+110)
  • Run Line — Los Angeles Angels: +1.5 (-130)

Latest Team Records

Chicago Cubs: 74-55 (Win %: 0.574)
Los Angeles Angels: 61-67 (Win %: 0.477)

Injury Report

Chicago Cubs are missing Ryan Brasier (Groin), listed as 15-Day-IL; Eli Morgan (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL; Miguel Amaya (Ankle), listed as 10-Day-IL. No other significant injuries are reported.

The Los Angeles Angels are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Chicago Cubs

  • Pete Crow-Armstrong: 0.256 AVG, 28 HR, 81 RBI
  • Seiya Suzuki: 0.244 AVG, 27 HR, 87 RBI
  • Michael Busch: 0.262 AVG, 24 HR, 73 RBI

Los Angeles Angels

  • Taylor Ward: 0.233 AVG, 29 HR, 92 RBI
  • Jo Adell: 0.233 AVG, 28 HR, 78 RBI
  • Zach Neto: 0.265 AVG, 21 HR, 55 RBI

Team Analysis

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs have surged with a 4-1 mark in their last five games, producing 4.8 runs per outing in that stretch. That short-term form has been powered by timely production from Pete Crow-Armstrong and Seiya Suzuki, who have consistently generated run support. However, their away record of 34-30 suggests only moderate consistency when traveling, making them less reliable in this spot compared to their dominant home performance.

Over the last 10 games, Chicago has gone 7-3 with 3.9 runs per game, a sign of solid but not overpowering offensive rhythm. Michael Busch has been an important contributor during this span, yet the lineup still leans on a few key bats rather than balanced depth. While their pitching staff’s 3.79 ERA has kept them competitive, the Cubs’ overall profile away from home looks more vulnerable against a motivated Angels side.

  • Batting Average: 0.248
  • Total Runs Scored: 632
  • Home Runs: 175
  • OBP: 0.319
  • SLG: 0.426
  • OPS: 0.745
  • ERA: 3.79
  • WHIP: 1.2

Away Record: 34-30 • Home Record: 41-25
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (4.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (3.9 RPG)


Los Angeles Angels

The Angels have stumbled with a 1-4 record in their last five, scoring only 2.0 runs per game in that stretch. Despite the slump, Taylor Ward’s power production and Jo Adell’s ability to drive in runs offer upside when the lineup connects. Their home record of 34-34 points to that this team is far more competitive at Angel Stadium than their overall record suggests, making them a live underdog in this spot.

Across the last 10 games, Los Angeles holds a 4-6 mark with 3.9 runs per game, showing flashes of offense but lacking consistency. Zach Neto has been a steady presence in the order, and the team’s 181 home runs this season prove they can change games with one swing. Facing a Cubs squad that has been less imposing away from home, the Angels’ situational balance and power profile support their case as the sharper betting side.

  • Batting Average: 0.232
  • Total Runs Scored: 560
  • Home Runs: 181
  • OBP: 0.305
  • SLG: 0.407
  • OPS: 0.712
  • ERA: 4.66
  • WHIP: 1.43

Away Record: 27-34 • Home Record: 34-34
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (2.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (3.9 RPG)


Head-to-Head History

Chicago Cubs lead 2–0 (Last 2 games)

  • August 23, 2025: CHC 12 @ LAA 1
  • August 22, 2025: CHC 3 @ LAA 2

Over/Under Trends

Chicago Cubs’ last 10 games have averaged 6.8 total runs, with 2 games that would have cleared today’s total of 9.5.

Los Angeles Angels’ last 10 games have averaged 9.8 combined runs, with 6 games clearing the same number of 9.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

The Angels’ balanced home record, power upside from standouts like Taylor Ward and Jo Adell, and the Cubs’ less imposing road profile point toward Los Angeles as the sharper side. Chicago Cubs’ recent wins have come with better run support, but those numbers dip outside Wrigley, while the Angels’ lineup remains capable of delivering timely power at home. This interleague setting favors Los Angeles to capitalize and secure the result.

The Los Angeles Angels at +120 fit a live underdog profile on recent numbers.

Over/Under Prediction

In their last five, the Los Angeles Angels have produced 2.0 RPG and the Chicago Cubs 4.8. That output frames how this total sets up.

These teams are combining for 6.8 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 9.5. That points toward the Under 9.5.

Bookmakers

Lines retrieved from: FanDuel, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, MyBookie.ag, DraftKings, Fanatics, BetMGM, Bovada, BetUS, BetRivers.

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John Tamburino

John TamburinoVerified

Lead Analyst — data-first, former college baseball.

John Tamburino grew up on travel baseball and three years of varsity basketball, then played college baseball before shifting to analytics. He still watches everything—from weekday tennis to UFC—and will never forget the Diamondbacks’ 2001 run. At Parlamaz, John blends trusted data feeds with matchup context to find real value—no fluff, no paywalls.