MLB Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres (Saturday, August 23 at 08:40 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | LAD | SD |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -135 | +122 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.0 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (122) | +1.5 (-145) |
| Last 5 RPG | 5.4 | 5.2 |
| Record | 73–55 | 72–56 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Los Angeles Dodgers · San Diego Padres
Scoring has surged in this matchup, with the Dodgers averaging 5.4 runs per game across their last five and the Padres posting 5.2 in the same span, creating a high‑octane setup for this MLB prediction. Both clubs sit nearly identical in the standings, yet Los Angeles holds a slight head-to-head edge and boasts more proven firepower in critical spots. With offensive rhythm trending upward, the betting edge leans toward Los Angeles and a total that clears the number.
Game Time
Taking place at Saturday, August 23 at 08:40 PM ET inside Petco Park, conservative scoring is typical.
Odds & Spread Line
- Los Angeles Dodgers: -135
- San Diego Padres: +122
Total: 8
- Run Line — Los Angeles Dodgers: -1.5 (+122)
- Run Line — San Diego Padres: +1.5 (-145)
Latest Team Records
Los Angeles Dodgers: 73-55 (Win %: 0.57)
San Diego Padres: 72-56 (Win %: 0.562)
Injury Report
Los Angeles Dodgers are missing Tony Gonsolin (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL; Evan Phillips (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL.
The San Diego Padres are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Shohei Ohtani: 0.285 AVG, 44 HR, 83 RBI
- Freddie Freeman: 0.303 AVG, 16 HR, 72 RBI
- Andy Pages: 0.274 AVG, 21 HR, 71 RBI
San Diego Padres
- Manny Machado: 0.294 AVG, 21 HR, 77 RBI
- Ramon Laureano: 0.299 AVG, 19 HR, 59 RBI
- Ryan O’Hearn: 0.279 AVG, 16 HR, 53 RBI
Team Analysis
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers enter with a 73-55 record and remain consistent despite a 2-3 mark in their last five. That recent stretch still produced 5.4 runs per game, highlighting their ability to generate offense even when results wobble. Shohei Ohtani’s power output keeps pressure on opposing pitchers, while Freddie Freeman sustains rallies with steady contact. Their neutral 32-32 road record is balanced by proven scoring depth, which positions them well to break through in San Diego.
Across the last 10 games, Los Angeles has gone 5-5 while averaging 5.2 runs per game, confirming stable production. Andy Pages has emerged as a complementary threat, deepening a lineup that consistently reaches base and drives the ball with authority. Even with a split road profile, the Dodgers’ offensive ceiling gives them a decisive edge against a Padres team that leans heavily on pitching control. This lineup simply sustains more firepower over nine innings.
- Batting Average: 0.255
- Total Runs Scored: 666
- Home Runs: 190
- OBP: 0.332
- SLG: 0.441
- OPS: 0.773
- ERA: 4.16
- WHIP: 1.31
Away Record: 32-32 • Home Record: 41-24
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (5.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (5.2 RPG)
San Diego Padres
The Padres have capitalized on home strength, sitting at 42-21 in San Diego while going 4-1 in their last five. Their 5.2 runs per game in that stretch reflect a lineup led by Manny Machado’s balanced production and Ramon Laureano’s ability to reach base consistently. This recent surge at home demonstrates confidence, but the Dodgers’ deeper offensive arsenal poses a more sustained challenge over a full series.
Over the last 10 games, San Diego has gone 6-4 with 4.8 runs per game, a solid but less explosive profile compared to Los Angeles. Ryan O’Hearn adds another layer of reliability, yet the Padres’ overall lineup lacks the same top-to-bottom home run threat. While their pitching staff controls games with a strong ERA, their offensive pace has not matched the Dodgers’ consistency. Against a team that thrives on offensive volume, San Diego Padres’ margin for success narrows.
- Batting Average: 0.252
- Total Runs Scored: 539
- Home Runs: 110
- OBP: 0.322
- SLG: 0.385
- OPS: 0.708
- ERA: 3.54
- WHIP: 1.2
Away Record: 31-35 • Home Record: 42-21
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (5.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (4.8 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Los Angeles Dodgers lead 3–2 (Last 5 games)
- August 22, 2025: LAD 1 @ SD 2
- August 17, 2025: SD 4 @ LAD 5
- August 16, 2025: SD 0 @ LAD 6
- August 15, 2025: SD 2 @ LAD 3
- June 19, 2025: SD 5 @ LAD 3
Over/Under Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers’ last 10 games have averaged 9.4 total runs, with 6 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.
San Diego Padres’ last 10 games have averaged 7.5 combined runs, with 4 games clearing the same number of 8.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
The Dodgers’ combination of consistent run production, balanced lineup depth, and head-to-head edge makes them the sharper moneyline side. Their ability to maintain over five runs per game despite recent splits demonstrates resilience that San Diego has not matched consistently. With Ohtani, Freeman, and Pages driving a lineup that sustains pressure, Los Angeles holds the superior offensive profile and projects to control this matchup from start to finish.
Confidence sits with the Los Angeles Dodgers based on recent profiles.
Over/Under Prediction
In their last five, the San Diego Padres have produced 5.2 RPG and the Los Angeles Dodgers 5.4. That output frames how this total sets up.
These teams are combining for 10.6 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.0. That points toward the Over 8.0.
Bookmakers
Shop the odds at: DraftKings, MyBookie.ag, FanDuel, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, Bovada, BetMGM, BetRivers, Fanatics, BetUS.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Aug 23, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
