Prediction Details

MLB Prediction: Chicago Cubs vs Los Angeles Angels (Saturday, August 23 at 09:35 PM ET)

Introduction

Updated

CHC @ LAACHC -154LAA +130O/U 9.5
Market / Trend CHC LAA
Moneyline -154 +130
Total (O/U) 9.5
Run Line -1.5 (108) +1.5 (-128)
Last 5 RPG 3.6 4.0
Record 73–55 61–66
Lines: Caesars, FanDuel, Fanatics, MyBookie.ag

More MLB picks: Chicago Cubs · Los Angeles Angels

The Cubs enter this interleague matchup riding a 4-1 stretch across their last 5 games, a surge that strengthens their case as the sharper side in this MLB prediction. Their offense has been steady enough to support a staff carrying a strong ERA, while the Angels remain inconsistent at home with a 34-33 mark. With scoring pace muted in this park and both lineups showing uneven efficiency, the edge leans toward Chicago and a lower-scoring outcome.

Game Time

Starts in 20h 8m

On tap at Saturday, August 23 at 09:35 PM ET inside Angel Stadium, where carry is muted and totals stay modest typically.

Odds & Spread Line

  • Chicago Cubs: -154
  • Los Angeles Angels: +130

Total: 9.5

  • Run Line — Chicago Cubs: -1.5 (+108)
  • Run Line — Los Angeles Angels: +1.5 (-128)

Latest Team Records

Chicago Cubs: 73-55 (Win %: 0.57)
Los Angeles Angels: 61-66 (Win %: 0.48)

Injury Report

Chicago Cubs are missing Eli Morgan (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL; Cade Horton (Finger), listed as Day-To-Day; Miguel Amaya (Ankle), listed as 10-Day-IL. No other significant injuries are reported.

The Los Angeles Angels are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Chicago Cubs

  • Pete Crow-Armstrong: 0.256 AVG, 27 HR, 80 RBI
  • Seiya Suzuki: 0.245 AVG, 27 HR, 86 RBI
  • Michael Busch: 0.26 AVG, 24 HR, 73 RBI

Los Angeles Angels

  • Taylor Ward: 0.235 AVG, 29 HR, 92 RBI
  • Jo Adell: 0.232 AVG, 28 HR, 78 RBI
  • Zach Neto: 0.267 AVG, 21 HR, 55 RBI

Team Analysis

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs’ 73-55 record reflects a team with consistent execution, and their 4-1 mark over the last 5 games shows they are playing with clear momentum. Even with modest run production at 3.6 RPG recently, the pitching staff has carried the load, holding opponents down and enabling late-inning bats like Pete Crow-Armstrong to make the difference. That combination of controlled pitching and timely hitting is translating into road stability, as shown by their 33-30 away record.

Seiya Suzuki’s steady power has added balance to the lineup, while Michael Busch continues to provide secondary run support. Despite averaging only 2.8 RPG across the last 10 games, the Cubs are winning because their arms are suppressing scoring environments and creating value in low-total games. That dynamic gives them a betting edge on the road, especially against an Angels team that has struggled to string together consistent wins at home.

  • Batting Average: 0.249
  • Total Runs Scored: 629
  • Home Runs: 173
  • OBP: 0.319
  • SLG: 0.427
  • OPS: 0.746
  • ERA: 3.81
  • WHIP: 1.21

Away Record: 33-30 • Home Record: 41-25
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (3.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (2.8 RPG)


Los Angeles Angels

The Angels sit at 61-66 with a 34-33 home record, showing they have been unable to leverage their own ballpark into a clear advantage. Their last 5 games produced a 2-3 record with 4.0 RPG, signaling inconsistency when it matters most. Taylor Ward has been the most reliable run producer, but the supporting cast has not translated enough offense into wins against quality pitching.

Jo Adell and Zach Neto provide flashes of power, yet the Angels’ lineup has lacked rhythm across their last 10 games, splitting 5-5 despite averaging 4.5 RPG. Their pitching staff has not been able to keep pace with opponents, leaving the offense pressured to overperform. That imbalance makes them a risky side at home against a Cubs team that thrives in lower-scoring contests.

  • Batting Average: 0.233
  • Total Runs Scored: 558
  • Home Runs: 179
  • OBP: 0.306
  • SLG: 0.407
  • OPS: 0.714
  • ERA: 4.67
  • WHIP: 1.43

Away Record: 27-34 • Home Record: 34-33
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (4.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (4.5 RPG)


Head-to-Head History

Chicago Cubs lead 1–0 (Most recent game)

  • August 22, 2025: CHC 3 @ LAA 2

Over/Under Trends

Chicago Cubs’ last 10 games have averaged 5.8 total runs, with 1 game that would have cleared today’s total of 9.5.

Los Angeles Angels’ last 10 games have averaged 9.6 combined runs, with 6 games clearing the same number of 9.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

The Cubs’ recent 4-1 surge, combined with their ability to grind out low-scoring wins, makes them the stronger side in this matchup. Their pitching edge has consistently neutralized opposing bats, and their balanced lineup has produced timely offense in support. With a head-to-head win already secured and superior road form, the Cubs are positioned to control this game and extend their advantage over the Angels.

Data supports the Chicago Cubs as the right side.

Over/Under Prediction

Last five form shows the Los Angeles Angels at 4.0 RPG and the Chicago Cubs at 3.6, giving context for the number.

These teams are combining for 7.6 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 9.5. That points toward the Under 9.5.

Bookmakers

Lines retrieved from: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, Fanatics, Caesars.

Parlamaz may earn affiliate commissions from links in this article.

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John Tamburino

John TamburinoVerified

Lead Analyst — data-first, former college baseball.

John Tamburino grew up on travel baseball and three years of varsity basketball, then played college baseball before shifting to analytics. He still watches everything—from weekday tennis to UFC—and will never forget the Diamondbacks’ 2001 run. At Parlamaz, John blends trusted data feeds with matchup context to find real value—no fluff, no paywalls.