MLB Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies (Monday, August 18 at 08:40 PM ET)
Introduction
LAD @ COL
LAD -286
COL +225
O/U 11.0
| Market / Trend | LAD | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -286 | +225 |
| Total (O/U) | 11.0 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (-180) | +1.5 (+157) |
| Last 5 RPG | 5.0 | 5.6 |
| Record | 70–53 | 34–89 |
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Updated Aug 17, 2025 11:10 PM ET Lines: Consensus |
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More MLB picks: Los Angeles Dodgers · Colorado Rockies
The Dodgers enter this matchup analysis with a steady 3-2 mark in their last five outings, averaging 5.0 runs per game, while the Rockies have gone 4-1 with 5.6 runs per game. That contrast highlights two teams producing offense but with different overall ceilings, as Los Angeles maintains a far stronger season record and head-to-head dominance. This MLB prediction leans firmly toward the Dodgers’ consistency and superior roster depth prevailing, with recent scoring trends pointing toward value on the Under despite the hitter-friendly setting.
Game Time
First pitch comes at Monday, August 18 at 08:40 PM ET at hitter-friendly Coors Field, where thin air inflates offense.
Odds & Spread Line
- Los Angeles Dodgers: -286
- Colorado Rockies: +225
Total: 11
- Run Line — Los Angeles Dodgers: -1.5 (-180)
- Run Line — Colorado Rockies: +1.5 (+157)
Latest Team Records
Los Angeles Dodgers: 70-53 (Win %: 0.569)
Colorado Rockies: 34-89 (Win %: 0.276)
Injury Report
Los Angeles Dodgers are missing Hyeseong Kim (Shoulder), listed as 10-Day-IL; Kirby Yates (Back), listed as 15-Day-IL; Tommy Edman (Ankle), listed as 10-Day-IL. No other significant injuries are reported.
Colorado Rockies are missing German Marquez (Biceps), listed as 15-Day-IL; Kris Bryant (Back), listed as 60-Day-IL; Thairo Estrada (Hamstring), listed as 60-Day-IL; Seth Halvorsen (Elbow), listed as 15-Day-IL; Zachary Agnos (Elbow), listed as 15-Day-IL. No other significant injuries are reported.
Key Player Stats
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Shohei Ohtani: 0.283 AVG, 43 HR, 80 RBI
- Freddie Freeman: 0.299 AVG, 14 HR, 66 RBI
- Andy Pages: 0.275 AVG, 19 HR, 69 RBI
Colorado Rockies
- Hunter Goodman: 0.277 AVG, 25 HR, 69 RBI
- Mickey Moniak: 0.262 AVG, 18 HR, 47 RBI
- Jordan Beck: 0.278 AVG, 14 HR, 44 RBI
Team Analysis
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers have maintained a steady rhythm with a 3-2 record in their last five games, averaging 5.0 runs per contest. While not overwhelming, that production has been consistent enough to support their 70-53 overall record. On the road, they have managed to stay above water with a 30-29 mark, showing they can translate their power-heavy lineup into results even outside of Los Angeles. Shohei Ohtani’s ability to change a game with one swing remains the defining edge in matchups like this.
Freddie Freeman’s steady contact approach complements Ohtani’s explosiveness, while Andy Pages has emerged as a reliable run producer across recent series. The balance between power and situational hitting gives the Dodgers confidence in close games, particularly against weaker pitching staffs. Their bullpen and staff ERA support a strategy that limits opponents enough to let the offense dictate outcomes, which is why this group consistently outperforms weaker National League opponents.
- Batting Average: 0.253
- Total Runs Scored: 635
- Home Runs: 182
- OBP: 0.331
- SLG: 0.439
- OPS: 0.77
- ERA: 4.12
- WHIP: 1.31
Away Record: 30-29 • Home Record: 41-24
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (5.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (5.0 RPG)
Colorado Rockies
The Rockies’ 4-1 record in their last five games shows they have recently produced offense, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. However, that short burst of form is overshadowed by their 34-89 overall record and a dismal 19-43 home mark. Hunter Goodman provides legitimate power, but the lack of consistency across the lineup has left Colorado vulnerable against elite pitching and deep lineups.
Mickey Moniak and Jordan Beck offer complementary offensive pieces, but the Rockies’ inability to sustain rallies has been their downfall throughout the season. Even with occasional bursts of production, their pitching staff’s 6.00 ERA is a liability that erases much of the offensive progress. At home, the thin air inflates numbers, but their inability to convert that into wins speaks to why they remain a clear underdog in this matchup.
- Batting Average: 0.239
- Total Runs Scored: 463
- Home Runs: 128
- OBP: 0.297
- SLG: 0.396
- OPS: 0.693
- ERA: 6.0
- WHIP: 1.6
Away Record: 16-46 • Home Record: 19-43
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (5.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (4.5 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Los Angeles Dodgers lead 5–0 (Last 5 games)
- June 26, 2025: LAD 3 @ COL 1
- June 25, 2025: LAD 8 @ COL 1
- June 24, 2025: LAD 9 @ COL 7
- April 16, 2025: COL 7 @ LAD 8
- April 15, 2025: COL 2 @ LAD 6
Over/Under Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers’ last 10 games have averaged 8.8 total runs, with 1 game that would have cleared today’s total of 11.
Colorado Rockies’ last 10 games have averaged 10.1 combined runs, with 2 games clearing the same number of 11.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
The Dodgers’ superior season record, balanced offensive core, and flawless 5-0 head-to-head dominance over Colorado make them the clear play. Their road competence combined with the trio of Ohtani, Freeman, and Pages provides reliable production against a Rockies team undermined by weak pitching and poor home results. Los Angeles has consistently controlled this matchup and has every statistical edge to extend that run.
Data supports the Los Angeles Dodgers as the right side.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
How does Parlamaz make Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies MLB predictions?
We use trusted data feeds and real-time odds to model each matchup. We weight the numbers that move lines—team form, matchup history, injuries, park factors, totals trends, and betting momentum—then compare our price to the market to find value. All signal, no noise. No paywalls.
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Aug 18, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
How should I size my bets?
Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays — smart ones. Build them from real edges, keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there.
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
