MLB Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds (Friday, August 15 at 06:40 PM ET)
Introduction
More MLB picks: Milwaukee Brewers · Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers’ 10-0 tear over their last 10 games, averaging 7.9 runs, sets up a high-scoring environment in this MLB prediction against a Cincinnati team that has quietly gone 4-1 in its last five. The Brewers’ offense has been relentless, but the Reds’ recent home form and ability to generate over six runs per game in that same span signal a live dog with the firepower to match. With both lineups producing well above seasonal averages, this matchup is primed for offensive production and a confident lean toward the home side prevailing.
Game Time
The action begins at Friday, August 15 at 06:40 PM ET at Great American Ball Park, home-run friendly by design.
Odds & Spread Line
- Milwaukee Brewers: -141
- Cincinnati Reds: +115
Total: 9.5
- Run Line — Milwaukee Brewers: -1.5 (+115)
- Run Line — Cincinnati Reds: +1.5 (-138)
Latest Team Records
Milwaukee Brewers: 76-44 (Win %: 0.633)
Cincinnati Reds: 64-58 (Win %: 0.525)
Injury Report
Milwaukee Brewers are missing Jackson Chourio (Hamstring), listed as 10-Day-IL; Rob Zastryzny (Ribs), listed as 15-Day-IL.
The Cincinnati Reds are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Milwaukee Brewers
- Christian Yelich: 0.266 AVG, 23 HR, 81 RBI
- Jackson Chourio: 0.276 AVG, 17 HR, 67 RBI
- Brice Turang: 0.275 AVG, 12 HR, 56 RBI
Cincinnati Reds
- Elly De La Cruz: 0.277 AVG, 19 HR, 74 RBI
- Miguel Andujar: 0.306 AVG, 9 HR, 35 RBI
- Noelvi Marte: 0.29 AVG, 8 HR, 35 RBI
Team Analysis
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers’ 5-0 run in the last five games and 10-0 stretch in the last ten shows complete dominance, fueled by consistent run production above nine per game recently. Christian Yelich has been a central figure in maintaining offensive rhythm, and the group’s ability to score in bursts has been a nightmare for opposing pitching staffs. Their 34-24 road record underlines their adaptability, though the upcoming test against a surging home side will demand continued precision at the plate.
Brice Turang’s timely hitting has complemented the lineup’s depth, ensuring rallies don’t stall deep in games. While the Brewers’ run-scoring pace is elite, the loss of Jackson Chourio removes a layer of explosiveness that could be critical in a tight contest. Facing a Cincinnati team with strong recent home metrics, Milwaukee Brewers’ challenge will be sustaining this torrid scoring rate against a more balanced opponent.
- Batting Average: 0.259
- Total Runs Scored: 620
- Home Runs: 127
- OBP: 0.332
- SLG: 0.405
- OPS: 0.738
- ERA: 3.59
- WHIP: 1.23
Away Record: 34-24 • Home Record: 42-20
Last 5 Games: 5-0 (9.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 10-0 (7.9 RPG)
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds’ 4-1 mark in the last five games has been powered by a 6.2 runs-per-game pace, which is a sharp uptick from their season average. Elly De La Cruz’s recent production has been pivotal in igniting early leads, and Miguel Andujar’s consistent contact skills have kept innings alive for run-scoring opportunities. With a 35-27 home record, the Reds have leveraged their ballpark dimensions to maximize offensive output.
Noelvi Marte’s bat adds another layer of depth, giving Cincinnati multiple threats capable of changing the game with one swing. Their 6-4 record over the last ten highlights a steady climb in form, and their ability to match high-powered offenses at home is critical here. Against a Milwaukee team riding an extended streak, Cincinnati Reds’ balanced attack and favorable home split position them to capitalize on any slip in the visitors’ pace.
- Batting Average: 0.247
- Total Runs Scored: 554
- Home Runs: 122
- OBP: 0.318
- SLG: 0.391
- OPS: 0.71
- ERA: 3.82
- WHIP: 1.23
Away Record: 29-31 • Home Record: 35-27
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (6.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (4.2 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Milwaukee Brewers lead 3–2 (Last 5 games)
- June 04, 2025: MIL 9 @ CIN 1
- June 03, 2025: MIL 2 @ CIN 4
- June 02, 2025: MIL 3 @ CIN 2
- April 06, 2025: CIN 2 @ MIL 8
- April 05, 2025: CIN 11 @ MIL 7
Over/Under Trends
Milwaukee Brewers’ last 10 games have averaged 10.7 total runs, with 5 games that would have cleared today’s total of 9.5.
Cincinnati Reds’ last 10 games have averaged 7.5 combined runs, with 1 game clearing the same number of 9.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Cincinnati Reds’ recent surge at home, coupled with a 4-1 stretch producing over six runs per game, makes them a legitimate threat to halt Milwaukee Brewers’ streak. The Reds’ offensive depth through Elly De La Cruz, Miguel Andujar, and Noelvi Marte gives them multiple avenues to pressure opposing pitchers, especially in a park that rewards power and gap hitting. With their ability to exploit home conditions and match Milwaukee Brewers’ scoring pace, Cincinnati is positioned to take full advantage of this spot.
The Cincinnati Reds at +115 fit a live underdog profile on recent numbers.
Over/Under Prediction
Last five form shows the Cincinnati Reds at 6.2 RPG and the Milwaukee Brewers at 9.4, giving context for the number.
These teams are combining for 15.6 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 9.5. That points toward a Over 9.5.
Bookmakers
Odds courtesy of: FanDuel, Fanatics, DraftKings, Caesars, MyBookie.ag, Bovada, BetRivers, BetMGM.
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We use trusted data feeds and real-time odds to model each matchup. We weight the numbers that move lines—team form, matchup history, injuries, park factors, totals trends, and betting momentum—then compare our price to the market to find value. All signal, no noise. No paywalls. Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams. We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds. Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays — smart ones. Build them from real edges, keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there. Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.MLB Predictions FAQ
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