MLB Prediction: New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals (Friday, August 15 at 08:15 PM ET)
Introduction
More MLB picks: New York Yankees · St. Louis Cardinals
In an American League and National League showdown, the Yankees’ offense has averaged 4.4 runs per game over their last five while the Cardinals have stumbled to just 2.4, setting up a clear MLB prediction edge. New York Yankees’ combination of power and disciplined at-bats creates separation against a St. Louis lineup that’s lacked consistency, especially in recent home contests. With both clubs trending toward lower combined totals, sharp bettors should anticipate a controlled game script that favors the visiting side.
Game Time
This one goes at Friday, August 15 at 08:15 PM ET at pitcher-friendly Busch Stadium in St. Louis.
Odds & Spread Line
- New York Yankees: -141
- St. Louis Cardinals: +115
Total: 9
- Run Line — New York Yankees: -1.5 (+118)
- Run Line — St. Louis Cardinals: +1.5 (-142)
Latest Team Records
New York Yankees: 64-57 (Win %: 0.529)
St. Louis Cardinals: 61-61 (Win %: 0.5)
Injury Report
New York Yankees are missing Oswaldo Cabrera (Ankle), listed as 60-Day-IL; Ryan Yarbrough (Oblique), listed as 15-Day-IL; Fernando Cruz (Oblique), listed as 15-Day-IL. No other significant injuries are reported.
The St. Louis Cardinals are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
New York Yankees
- Aaron Judge: 0.333 AVG, 38 HR, 88 RBI
- Cody Bellinger: 0.27 AVG, 22 HR, 69 RBI
- Giancarlo Stanton: 0.299 AVG, 12 HR, 34 RBI
St. Louis Cardinals
- Alec Burleson: 0.282 AVG, 15 HR, 54 RBI
- Willson Contreras: 0.255 AVG, 16 HR, 65 RBI
- Ivan Herrera: 0.294 AVG, 10 HR, 42 RBI
Team Analysis
New York Yankees
The Yankees’ 3-2 mark over the last five games, paired with a 4.4 runs-per-game pace in that span, signals a balanced attack capable of producing against average pitching. Aaron Judge continues to anchor the lineup with elite power, while Cody Bellinger’s extra-base hit threat adds depth to the middle order. Their road record of 27-32 underscores some inconsistency away from home, but recent scoring suggests they are finding ways to manufacture runs in tighter contests.
Giancarlo Stanton’s recent production provides another dimension to a lineup that can pressure opposing starters early. While the team’s last 10 games show a 4-6 record and 3.6 RPG, the offense has been more opportunistic in recent outings, capitalizing on mistakes. Against a Cardinals staff with a 4.18 ERA, New York Yankees’ offensive ceiling remains higher, making them the more reliable side in this matchup.
- Batting Average: 0.249
- Total Runs Scored: 612
- Home Runs: 191
- OBP: 0.328
- SLG: 0.446
- OPS: 0.774
- ERA: 4.01
- WHIP: 1.25
Away Record: 27-32 • Home Record: 37-25
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (4.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (3.6 RPG)
St. Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals’ recent 2-3 stretch with only 2.4 runs per game highlights a lineup struggling to sustain rallies. Alec Burleson has offered some timely contact hitting, but the lack of consistent run support limits their ability to overcome early deficits. Even with a respectable 35-27 home record, their current scoring pace raises concerns against a Yankees staff that can suppress offense.
Willson Contreras and Ivan Herrera have provided occasional sparks, yet the overall approach has not translated into sustained pressure on opposing pitchers. A 5-5 mark in the last 10 games with just 3.4 RPG reflects a middling offensive rhythm, which becomes more problematic against a visiting team with superior power metrics. Without a notable uptick in production, St. Louis faces an uphill battle to keep pace.
- Batting Average: 0.249
- Total Runs Scored: 526
- Home Runs: 115
- OBP: 0.318
- SLG: 0.386
- OPS: 0.704
- ERA: 4.18
- WHIP: 1.28
Away Record: 26-34 • Home Record: 35-27
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (2.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (3.4 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
No recent matchups between these teams in 2025.
Over/Under Trends
New York Yankees’ last 10 games have averaged 7.8 total runs, with 3 games that would have cleared today’s total of 9.
St. Louis Cardinals’ last 10 games have averaged 8.0 combined runs, with 4 games clearing the same number of 9.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
New York Yankees’ recent scoring edge, combined with a deeper middle order and the ability to produce against average pitching, gives them a clear path to control this matchup. St. Louis’ reduced offensive output at home in recent games leaves little margin for error against a lineup anchored by Judge, Bellinger, and Stanton. Expect the visitors to dictate tempo and secure the result through sustained pressure and timely extra-base hits.
Markets point to the New York Yankees as the correct angle.
Over/Under Prediction
Recent five-game scoring: the St. Louis Cardinals are at 2.4 RPG and the New York Yankees at 4.4 — a useful baseline against the total.
These teams are combining for 6.8 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 9.0. That leans to a Under 9.0.
Bookmakers
Lines retrieved from: FanDuel, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, MyBookie.ag, BetUS, Bovada, BetMGM, BetRivers, Fanatics.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
How does Parlamaz make New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals MLB predictions?
We use trusted data feeds and real-time odds to model each matchup. We weight the numbers that move lines—team form, matchup history, injuries, park factors, totals trends, and betting momentum—then compare our price to the market to find value. All signal, no noise. No paywalls.
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Aug 15, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
How should I size my bets?
Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays — smart ones. Build them from real edges, keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there.
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
