MLB Prediction: Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins (Thursday, August 14 at 07:40 PM ET)
Introduction
Minnesota Twins’ recent home form and Detroit Tigers’ middling road results set the stage for an assertive MLB prediction that leans toward the hosts. The Tigers have gone 31-28 on the road, but their last 10 games sit at an even 5-5, while the Twins have produced a 32-25 home mark despite a modest 2-3 stretch in their last five. With the Twins holding two recent wins over Detroit and showing an ability to limit runs in key spots, the matchup points toward a disciplined, lower-scoring contest where Minnesota Twins’ situational edge becomes decisive.
Game Time
Taking place at Thursday, August 14 at 07:40 PM ET inside Target Field, carry is often trimmed.
Odds & Spread Line
- Detroit Tigers: -204
- Minnesota Twins: +168
Total: 7.5
- Run Line — Detroit Tigers: -1.5 (-125)
- Run Line — Minnesota Twins: +1.5 (+104)
Latest Team Records
Detroit Tigers: 70-52 (Win %: 0.574)
Minnesota Twins: 57-63 (Win %: 0.475)
Injury Report
Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Detroit Tigers
- Riley Greene: 0.271 AVG, 27 HR, 87 RBI
- Spencer Torkelson: 0.242 AVG, 26 HR, 66 RBI
- Kerry Carpenter: 0.265 AVG, 21 HR, 45 RBI
Minnesota Twins
- Byron Buxton: 0.28 AVG, 24 HR, 60 RBI
- Trevor Larnach: 0.243 AVG, 16 HR, 49 RBI
- Ryan Jeffers: 0.267 AVG, 8 HR, 40 RBI
Team Analysis
Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers’ 3-2 record over the last five games reflects a neutral run, with 4.4 runs per game in that stretch suggesting moderate offensive output. On the road, their 31-28 record shows they can win away from home, but inconsistency remains, especially against teams that can suppress power bats. Riley Greene’s production has been steady, yet the lineup has lacked sustained rallies in tighter contests, leaving them vulnerable in lower-scoring environments.
Spencer Torkelson and Kerry Carpenter provide additional pop, but the Tigers’ results over the last 10 games at 5-5 (4.1 RPG) underscore a team trading wins and losses without building momentum. Against a Twins side that has recently kept opponents under control at home, Detroit Tigers’ offense will be tested to string hits and manufacture runs. The road splits signal competence but not dominance, which limits their appeal when facing a disciplined home squad.
- Batting Average: 0.251
- Total Runs Scored: 583
- Home Runs: 157
- OBP: 0.317
- SLG: 0.424
- OPS: 0.742
- ERA: 3.87
- WHIP: 1.24
Away Record: 31-28 • Home Record: 39-24
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (4.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (4.1 RPG)
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins’ 2-3 mark in the last five games comes with an anemic 2.4 runs per game, highlighting recent offensive inconsistency. However, their 32-25 home record demonstrates a tangible advantage at this venue, where they have controlled tempo and limited high-scoring affairs. Byron Buxton’s ability to produce in key moments remains pivotal, and his impact is amplified when the Twins keep games within a tight run margin.
Over the last 10 games, Minnesota Twins’ 6-4 record with 4.4 RPG shows that when they find rhythm, they turn it into wins. Trevor Larnach and Ryan Jeffers complement Buxton with timely contributions, and this balanced approach aligns well against a Tigers team that has not separated itself offensively on the road. The Twins’ defensive and pitching profile at home positions them well to convert this into a low-scoring victory.
- Batting Average: 0.239
- Total Runs Scored: 497
- Home Runs: 140
- OBP: 0.31
- SLG: 0.398
- OPS: 0.708
- ERA: 4.31
- WHIP: 1.29
Away Record: 25-38 • Home Record: 32-25
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (2.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (4.4 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Detroit Tigers lead 3–2 (Last 5 games)
- August 06, 2025: MIN 9 @ DET 4
- August 05, 2025: MIN 6 @ DET 3
- August 04, 2025: MIN 3 @ DET 6
- June 29, 2025: MIN 0 @ DET 3
- June 28, 2025: MIN 5 @ DET 10
Over/Under Trends
Detroit Tigers’ last 10 games have averaged 8.8 total runs, with 7 games that would have cleared today’s total of 7.5.
Minnesota Twins’ last 10 games have averaged 8.6 combined runs, with 8 games clearing the same number of 7.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Minnesota Twins’ strong 32-25 home record, combined with two recent wins over Detroit, underlines their ability to control games in this matchup. Their balanced offensive contributions from Byron Buxton, Trevor Larnach, and Ryan Jeffers provide enough run support to complement a home-field defensive edge. With Detroit showing only moderate road success and no sustained momentum, this is a prime spot for Minnesota to convert situational advantages into a win.
Form and matchup create value on the Minnesota Twins at +168.
Over/Under Prediction
Last five form shows the Minnesota Twins at 2.4 RPG and the Detroit Tigers at 4.4, giving context for the number.
These teams are combining for 6.8 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 7.5. That leans to a Under 7.5.
Bookmakers
Find these odds at: FanDuel, Fanatics, MyBookie.ag, BetRivers, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, BetMGM, BetUS, Bovada.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
How does Parlamaz make Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins MLB predictions?
We use trusted data feeds and real-time odds to model each matchup. We weight the numbers that move lines—team form, matchup history, injuries, park factors, totals trends, and betting momentum—then compare our price to the market to find value. All signal, no noise. No paywalls.
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Aug 14, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
How should I size my bets?
Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Avoid parlays unless edges stack; never risk what you can’t afford to lose.
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
