Introduction

Milwaukee Brewers’ relentless surge and Pittsburgh Pirates’ road woes set the tone for this MLB prediction, with the Brewers riding a 10–0 run in their last 10 and averaging 7.5 RPG over that stretch. The Pirates, conversely, have dropped four of their last five while producing just 2.6 RPG in that span, underscoring a stark offensive gap. This recent scoring disparity, combined with Milwaukee Brewers’ dominant head-to-head record, positions the home side to dictate pace and push the total upward.

Game Time

Coverage starts at Wednesday, August 13 at 02:10 PM ET at American Family Field, roofed conditions boost carry.

Odds & Spread Line

• Pittsburgh Pirates: +160
• Milwaukee Brewers: -208

Total: 7.5

• Run Line — Pittsburgh Pirates: +1.5 (-132)
• Run Line — Milwaukee Brewers: -1.5 (+112)

Latest Team Records

Pittsburgh Pirates: 51-69 (Win %: 0.425)
Milwaukee Brewers: 74-44 (Win %: 0.627)

Injury Report

The Pittsburgh Pirates are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Milwaukee Brewers are missing Rob Zastryzny (Ribs), listed as 15-Day-IL; Rhys Hoskins (Thumb), listed as 10-Day-IL; Connor Thomas (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL. No other significant injuries are reported.

Key Player Stats

Pittsburgh Pirates

• Bryan Reynolds: 0.242 AVG, 11 HR, 56 RBI
• Andrew McCutchen: 0.245 AVG, 11 HR, 40 RBI
• Oneil Cruz: 0.207 AVG, 18 HR, 51 RBI

Milwaukee Brewers

• Christian Yelich: 0.259 AVG, 22 HR, 75 RBI
• Jackson Chourio: 0.276 AVG, 17 HR, 67 RBI
• Brice Turang: 0.278 AVG, 11 HR, 55 RBI

Team Analysis

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates’ 1-4 mark over their last five games, with just 2.6 RPG, reflects a lineup struggling to sustain rallies. Road form has been a persistent weakness at 17-41, and that lack of production away from home limits their ability to pressure elite opponents. Bryan Reynolds has shown flashes, but the supporting cast has yet to deliver consistent multi-run innings against quality pitching.

Andrew McCutchen’s veteran presence has not been enough to offset the recent offensive drought, and Oneil Cruz’s power has been sporadic without adequate table-setting ahead of him. The Pirates’ inability to string together high-contact at-bats on the road has left them vulnerable to quick deficits. Facing a Milwaukee team that has thrived at home, Pittsburgh Pirates’ current trajectory offers little evidence of a breakout.

• Batting Average: 0.232
• Total Runs Scored: 427
• Home Runs: 84
• OPS: 0.65
• ERA: 3.93
• WHIP: 1.22

Away Record: 17-41 • Home Record: 34-29
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (2.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (3.7 RPG)

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Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers’ offense has been relentless, winning all of their last 10 games and averaging 7.5 RPG in that span. Christian Yelich continues to drive the middle of the order with consistent run production, while Jackson Chourio has added timely power to extend rallies. That combination has allowed the Brewers to open games aggressively and maintain pressure deep into contests.

At home, where they own a 41-20 record, the Brewers have translated their offensive rhythm into decisive margins. Brice Turang’s contact skills have complemented the power bats, keeping the lineup balanced and resistant to prolonged slumps. Their current form, supported by elite run output, makes them a formidable favorite in this matchup.

• Batting Average: 0.257
• Total Runs Scored: 594
• Home Runs: 122
• OPS: 0.731
• ERA: 3.61
• WHIP: 1.23

Away Record: 34-24 • Home Record: 41-20
Last 5 Games: 5-0 (7.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 10-0 (7.5 RPG)

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Head-to-Head History

Milwaukee Brewers lead 4–1 (Last 5 games)

• August 12, 2025: PIT 0 @ MIL 14
• August 11, 2025: PIT 1 @ MIL 7
• June 25, 2025: PIT 2 @ MIL 4
• June 24, 2025: PIT 3 @ MIL 9
• June 23, 2025: PIT 5 @ MIL 4

Over/Under Trends

Pittsburgh Pirates’ last 10 games have averaged 9.7 total runs, with 6 games that would have cleared today’s total of 7.5.

Milwaukee Brewers’ last 10 games have averaged 10.0 combined runs, with 8 games clearing the same number of 7.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Milwaukee Brewers’ perfect 10-0 run and 7.5 RPG output over their last 10, combined with a 41-20 home record, create a decisive situational edge. The Brewers have dominated this series recently, outscoring Pittsburgh 34-6 in the last three meetings, and their core hitters are consistently producing multi-run innings. With both form and venue advantage heavily in their favor, they are primed to extend their winning streak against an opponent that has faltered on the road.

Confidence sits with the Milwaukee Brewers based on recent profiles.

Over/Under Prediction

Last five form shows the Milwaukee Brewers at 7.6 RPG and the Pittsburgh Pirates at 2.6, giving context for the number.

These teams are combining for 10.2 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 7.5. That points toward a Over 7.5.

Bookmakers

You’ll find these markets at: BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Fanatics, Caesars, FanDuel, DraftKings, MyBookie.ag, Bovada, BetUS, BetMGM, BetRivers.

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