Introduction

Cleveland Guardians’ surge at 8-2 over their last 10 games positions them as the strong side in an American League and National League showdown that shapes up as a sharp MLB prediction opportunity. Miami has stumbled to just 1-4 in its last five, producing 3.8 runs per game in that stretch, a rate that won’t keep pace against a disciplined Guardians unit. With one team thriving in both execution and consistency and the other struggling to string together wins, the edge in recent performance and situational trends points firmly toward Cleveland controlling this contest.

Game Time

First pitch is set for Tuesday, August 12 at 06:40 PM ET at Progressive Field, weather and wind shape scoring.

Odds & Spread Line

• Miami Marlins: +123
• Cleveland Guardians: -147

Total: 8.5

• Run Line — Miami Marlins: +1.5 (-170)
• Run Line — Cleveland Guardians: -1.5 (+140)

Latest Team Records

Miami Marlins: 57-61 (Win %: 0.483)
Cleveland Guardians: 61-56 (Win %: 0.521)

Injury Report

The Miami Marlins are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Cleveland Guardians are missing Will Brennan (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL.

Key Player Stats

Miami Marlins

• Kyle Stowers: 0.285 AVG, 25 HR, 71 RBI
• Agustin Ramirez: 0.237 AVG, 17 HR, 52 RBI
• Otto Lopez: 0.244 AVG, 11 HR, 56 RBI

Cleveland Guardians

• Jose Ramirez: 0.289 AVG, 23 HR, 61 RBI
• Kyle Manzardo: 0.244 AVG, 20 HR, 52 RBI
• Steven Kwan: 0.278 AVG, 9 HR, 39 RBI

Team Analysis

Miami Marlins

Miami Marlins’ current 1-4 record over the last five games highlights a team in need of answers on both sides of the ball. Scoring just 3.8 runs per game in that span, their offense has lacked sustained rallies, with limited timely production from key bats like Agustin Ramirez. On the road, a 29-30 mark reflects a group that struggles to consistently dictate pace away from home, which is problematic against an in-form Cleveland side.

Even with Kyle Stowers providing flashes of power and Otto Lopez offering occasional run support, the lineup’s inconsistency has been costly in close games. Their inability to back up offensive spurts with follow-through innings has kept their run totals middling, and defensive lapses have compounded the issue. Facing a disciplined opponent at home, Miami Marlins’ recent form suggests they are up against a steep challenge to reverse their current slide.

• Batting Average: 0.251
• Total Runs Scored: 505
• Home Runs: 113
• OPS: 0.709
• ERA: 4.52
• WHIP: 1.31

Away Record: 29-30 • Home Record: 28-31
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (3.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (3.9 RPG)

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Cleveland Guardians

Cleveland Guardians’ 4-1 mark over the last five games, with 4.6 runs per game, underscores a balanced approach that has them winning both high- and low-scoring contests. At 29-27 at home, they’ve shown the ability to leverage their venue advantage, and Jose Ramirez has been central to keeping the offense efficient in key moments. This current stretch of form reflects a team executing well in all phases, especially against opponents struggling to find rhythm.

Kyle Manzardo’s power and Steven Kwan’s on-base consistency have complemented Ramirez, giving Cleveland multiple avenues to generate runs without over-reliance on a single bat. Their run prevention has matched their offensive output, making them a difficult team to chase down once ahead. With momentum and home-field edge, Cleveland Guardians’ profile points to continued success in matchups like this one.

• Batting Average: 0.228
• Total Runs Scored: 466
• Home Runs: 123
• OPS: 0.678
• ERA: 3.83
• WHIP: 1.3

Away Record: 32-29 • Home Record: 29-27
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (4.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 8-2 (4.7 RPG)

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Head-to-Head History

No recent matchups between these teams in 2025.

Over/Under Trends

Miami Marlins’ last 10 games have averaged 9.2 total runs, with 6 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.5.

Cleveland Guardians’ last 10 games have averaged 7.9 combined runs, with 5 games clearing the same number of 8.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Cleveland Guardians’ combination of an 8-2 surge over the last 10 games, solid home performance, and multi-pronged offensive threats in Jose Ramirez, Kyle Manzardo, and Steven Kwan gives them a decisive edge in this matchup. Their ability to produce runs consistently while keeping opponents in check aligns perfectly against Miami Marlins’ recent struggles away from home. Form and situational metrics make this a high-confidence spot for Cleveland to secure another win.

Form and matchup edges favor the Cleveland Guardians — back them.

Over/Under Prediction

Recent five-game scoring: the Cleveland Guardians are at 4.6 RPG and the Miami Marlins at 3.8 — a useful baseline against the total.

These teams are combining for 8.4 runs per game recently — right around the posted total of 8.5. With scoring hovering near the number, this Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians prediction still leans toward a Under 8.5 based on recent tendencies.

Bookmakers

Find these odds at: FanDuel, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, MyBookie.ag, BetUS, Bovada, BetMGM, Fanatics, BetRivers.

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