Introduction

Oaklands’ tighter recent scoring control and Tampa Bays’ inconsistent road output set the tone for this MLB prediction. The Rays are just 26-32 away from home, and their last 10 games have produced only 3.3 runs per game, signaling a persistent offensive lull. By contrast, Oakland’s balanced attack has maintained steadier production, and the home side’s situational edge combines with the Rays’ travel struggles to create a clear lean toward the Athletics in a lower-scoring contest.

Game Time

Set for Tuesday, August 12 at 10:05 PM ET at Oakland Coliseum, heavy air trims offense.

Odds & Spread Line

• Tampa Bay Rays: -105
• Oakland Athletics: -115

Total: 10

• Run Line — Tampa Bay Rays: -1.5 (+142)
• Run Line — Oakland Athletics: +1.5 (-172)

Latest Team Records

Tampa Bay Rays: 57-62 (Win %: 0.479)
Oakland Athletics: 53-67 (Win %: 0.442)

Injury Report

Tampa Bay Rays are missing Hunter Bigge (Lat), listed as 60-Day-IL; Alex Faedo (Shoulder), listed as 60-Day-IL.

The Oakland Athletics are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Tampa Bay Rays

• Junior Caminero: 0.258 AVG, 32 HR, 80 RBI
• Yandy Diaz: 0.277 AVG, 20 HR, 67 RBI
• Jonathan Aranda: 0.316 AVG, 12 HR, 54 RBI

Oakland Athletics

• Brent Rooker: 0.276 AVG, 24 HR, 70 RBI
• Tyler Soderstrom: 0.26 AVG, 21 HR, 68 RBI
• Shea Langeliers: 0.27 AVG, 23 HR, 52 RBI

Team Analysis

Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay enters with a 2-3 mark in its last five games, scoring 4.2 runs per outing in that stretch, and just 3.3 across its last ten. That inconsistency aligns with their 26-32 road record, where run production often dips against quality home pitching. Junior Caminero’s power remains a threat, but the lineup’s inability to sustain rallies on the road has kept them from converting opportunities into consistent wins.

Yandy Diaz and Jonathan Aranda provide solid contact, yet the Rays’ recent travel form shows they have not translated that into multi-run innings with regularity. Facing an Oakland staff that has held opponents under the posted total in most recent games, Tampa Bay’s middling road splits point toward continued offensive challenges. The combination of inconsistent run support and a sub-.500 away record reduces their win probability in this spot.

• Batting Average: 0.25
• Total Runs Scored: 531
• Home Runs: 131
• OPS: 0.712
• ERA: 3.91
• WHIP: 1.22

Away Record: 26-32 • Home Record: 32-30
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (4.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (3.3 RPG)

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Oakland Athletics

Oaklands’ 3-2 record in the last five games has come with a 5.2 runs per game average, showing steadier offensive rhythm than their opponent. Brent Rooker’s power bat continues to provide middle-of-the-order impact, while complementary production from Tyler Soderstrom has helped them avoid prolonged scoring droughts. At home, even with a 23-35 record, their recent scoring pace has been enough to create separation in competitive matchups.

Over the last ten games, the Athletics have gone 5-5 while averaging 5.4 runs, indicating they can keep pressure on visiting rotations. Shea Langeliers adds another layer of run potential, and the group’s ability to produce extra-base hits at this venue matches well against Tampa Bay’s recent road vulnerabilities. With steadier recent output and the home-field familiarity, Oakland holds the situational and form-based edge.

• Batting Average: 0.254
• Total Runs Scored: 532
• Home Runs: 163
• OPS: 0.751
• ERA: 4.91
• WHIP: 1.38

Away Record: 30-33 • Home Record: 23-35
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (5.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (5.4 RPG)

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Head-to-Head History

Tied 2–2 (Last 4 games)

• August 11, 2025: TB 7 @ OAK 4
• July 02, 2025: OAK 5 @ TB 6
• July 01, 2025: OAK 4 @ TB 3
• June 30, 2025: OAK 6 @ TB 4

Over/Under Trends

Tampa Bay Rays’ last 10 games have averaged 7.3 total runs, with 2 games that would have cleared today’s total of 10.0.

Oakland Athletics’ last 10 games have averaged 9.2 combined runs, with 3 games clearing the same number of 10.0.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Oaklands’ recent scoring consistency at 5.2 runs over the last five games, combined with Tampa Bay’s 26-32 road record and diminished offensive pace, creates a clear statistical edge. The Athletics’ balanced lineup, anchored by Brent Rooker and supported by Tyler Soderstrom and Shea Langeliers, has proven capable of capitalizing on home opportunities. With steadier form and the ability to pressure opposing pitchers early, Oakland Athletics present the stronger moneyline position in this matchup.

Confidence sits with the Oakland Athletics based on recent profiles.

Over/Under Prediction

Last five form shows the Oakland Athletics at 5.2 RPG and the Tampa Bay Rays at 4.2, giving context for the number.

These teams are combining for 9.4 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 10.0. That leans to a Under 10.0.

Bookmakers

Available at: FanDuel, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, MyBookie.ag, Bovada, BetMGM, BetRivers, BetUS, Fanatics.

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