Introduction

St. Louis enters this MLB prediction with a decisive edge in form and situational performance, winning 4 of their last 5 while limiting opponents to just 3.4 runs per game. Colorado, on the other hand, is mired in a 0–5 skid, producing only 3.0 RPG during that stretch and struggling badly away from home. With the Cardinals’ home record sitting 35–25 and the Rockies’ road mark at a dismal 14–46, the metrics point sharply toward the hosts controlling this matchup from start to finish.

Game Time

Opening pitch at Tuesday, August 12 at 07:45 PM ET at pitcher-friendly Busch Stadium in St. Louis.

Odds & Spread Line

• Colorado Rockies: +180
• St. Louis Cardinals: -238

Total: 8.5

• Run Line — Colorado Rockies: +1.5 (-118)
• Run Line — St. Louis Cardinals: -1.5 (-102)

Latest Team Records

Colorado Rockies: 30-87 (Win %: 0.256)
St. Louis Cardinals: 60-59 (Win %: 0.504)

Injury Report

Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Colorado Rockies

• Hunter Goodman: 0.278 AVG, 22 HR, 64 RBI
• Jordan Beck: 0.276 AVG, 14 HR, 42 RBI
• Mickey Moniak: 0.262 AVG, 17 HR, 45 RBI

St. Louis Cardinals

• Willson Contreras: 0.258 AVG, 16 HR, 65 RBI
• Alec Burleson: 0.28 AVG, 14 HR, 51 RBI
• Ivan Herrera: 0.296 AVG, 10 HR, 42 RBI

Team Analysis

Colorado Rockies

Colorado’s 0–5 record over their last five games underscores a prolonged inability to generate consistent offense, with just 3.0 runs per game in that span. Their road performance has been disastrous at 14–46, and that travel form compounds their issues against a home-strong opponent. Hunter Goodman has been a key contributor across the season, but recent output from the lineup has failed to sustain rallies or apply scoreboard pressure. Jordan Beck adds some pop, yet the supporting cast has not delivered enough timely hits to offset the pitching staff’s high run allowance.

Over the last 10 games, the Rockies have gone 2–8 despite averaging 5.0 RPG in that larger sample, a sign that occasional outbursts are offset by too many low-scoring efforts. Mickey Moniak has shown flashes, but the lack of consistent multi-run innings has left them vulnerable in close contests. Against a St. Louis team that thrives in limiting runs at home, that inconsistency is a glaring disadvantage. The combination of a poor road record and a struggling bullpen leaves little margin for error in this matchup.

• Batting Average: 0.238
• Total Runs Scored: 436
• Home Runs: 120
• OPS: 0.691
• ERA: 6.09
• WHIP: 1.62

Away Record: 14-46 • Home Record: 16-42
Last 5 Games: 0-5 (3.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 2-8 (5.0 RPG)

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St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis has taken 4 of their last 5, leaning on steady run prevention and timely offense to secure results. Their 3.4 RPG in that stretch demonstrates a more controlled, situational approach, which has been effective given their 35–25 home record. Willson Contreras has been a consistent run producer, while Alec Burleson has contributed key hits to sustain pressure on opposing pitchers. The Cardinals’ ability to grind out close wins is a decisive edge against a Rockies side that struggles to close games on the road.

Across the last 10 games, St. Louis is 6–4 while averaging 3.8 RPG, a profile that matches well against Colorado’s high ERA and WHIP. Ivan Herrera’s steady contact hitting adds depth to a lineup that can manufacture runs without relying solely on home runs. At home, their balanced attack and defensive stability make them a reliable side in low-to-mid scoring environments. This measured consistency positions them to control tempo and dictate terms throughout the game.

• Batting Average: 0.249
• Total Runs Scored: 518
• Home Runs: 113
• OPS: 0.706
• ERA: 4.2
• WHIP: 1.29

Away Record: 26-34 • Home Record: 35-25
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (3.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (3.8 RPG)

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Head-to-Head History

Tied 2–2 (Last 4 games)

• August 11, 2025: COL 2 @ STL 3
• July 23, 2025: STL 0 @ COL 6
• July 22, 2025: STL 4 @ COL 8
• July 21, 2025: STL 6 @ COL 2

Over/Under Trends

Colorado Rockies’ last 10 games have averaged
15.3 total runs, with 8 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.5.

St. Louis Cardinals’ last 10 games have averaged 8.4 combined runs, with 4 games clearing the same number of 8.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

With a 35–25 home mark and a 4–1 push across the last five, St. Louis profiles better than a Colorado side that’s 14–46 on the road and 0–5 in its last five. The Cardinals’ recent wins have come in tighter games that fit their current run profile, while the Rockies’ traveling offense has stalled at 3.0 RPG over the same span. Expect St. Louis to control innings and leverage Busch’s run-suppressing environment.

We’re backing the St. Louis Cardinals to handle business.

Over/Under Prediction

Recent form points under the number: these teams are combining for roughly 6.4 runs per game against a posted total of 8.5, and Busch typically dampens extra-base damage. The lean is the Under 8.5.

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