Introduction

As the Detroit Tigers prepare to test their road form against the Chicago White Sox at home, our expert pick leans towards a high-scoring affair. The Tigers, while the White Sox will aim to capitalize on their home advantage. With both teams combining for an average of 9.4 runs per game over their last ten games, this matchup analysis suggests a potential value bet on the Over.

Game Time

First pitch will be thrown on Monday, August 11 at 07:40 PM ET at Guaranteed Rate Field, where power bats can thrive.

Odds & Spread Line

Detroit Tigers: -135
Chicago White Sox: +115
Over/Under Line: 8.5
Spread Line:
Detroit Tigers: -1.5 (+128)
Chicago White Sox: +1.5 (-154)

Latest Team Records

Detroit Tigers: 67-51 (Win %: 0.568)
Chicago White Sox: 42-75 (Win %: 0.359)

Injury Report

The Detroit Tigers are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Chicago White Sox are missing Martin Perez (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL.

Key Player Stats

Detroit Tigers

• Riley Greene: 0.268 AVG, 26 HR, 84 RBI
• Spencer Torkelson: 0.241 AVG, 25 HR, 65 RBI
• Gleyber Torres: 0.271 AVG, 13 HR, 56 RBI

Chicago White Sox

• Lenyn Sosa: 0.275 AVG, 13 HR, 45 RBI
• Mike Tauchman: 0.273 AVG, 8 HR, 31 RBI
• Miguel Vargas: 0.229 AVG, 13 HR, 44 RBI

Team Analysis

Detroit Tigers

The Detroit Tigers head into this game with a balanced road record. However, they’ve displayed strong form recently, particularly from their key standouts like Riley Greene and Spencer Torkelson. The Tigers’ offensive potential looks promising going into this matchup.

The Tigers have shown their ability to deliver standout moments throughout the season. If they can harness their scoring consistency from their key players, they have a fair shot at overcoming their road challenges against the White Sox.

• Batting Average: 0.25
• Total Runs Scored: 566
• Home Runs: 152
• OPS: 0.741
• ERA: 3.85
• WHIP: 1.23

Away Record: 29-27 • Home Record: 39-24
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (5.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (5.0 RPG)

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Chicago White Sox

The Chicago White Sox are looking to leverage their home advantage in this matchup. With key standouts like Lenyn Sosa and Mike Tauchman stepping up, they could potentially find their rhythm against the Tigers. However, their recent form has been a bit shaky, which might pose a challenge.

Despite their home advantage, the White Sox have had their share of struggles. They’ll need to ramp up their offensive consistency to match the Tigers’ scoring potential. With their recent form being a bit unstable, they’ll need their key players to step up and deliver in this crucial game.

• Batting Average: 0.228
• Total Runs Scored: 446
• Home Runs: 114
• OPS: 0.668
• ERA: 4.16
• WHIP: 1.37

Away Record: 18-41 • Home Record: 25-34
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (4.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (4.5 RPG)

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Head-to-Head History

Detroit Tigers lead 3–2 (Last 5 games)

• June 05, 2025: DET 2 @ CHW 3
• June 04, 2025: DET 5 @ CHW 4
• June 03, 2025: DET 1 @ CHW 8
• June 02, 2025: DET 13 @ CHW 1
• April 06, 2025: CHW 3 @ DET 4

Over/Under Trends

Detroit Tigers’ last 10 games have averaged 9.9 total runs per game, with 9 of those going over the posted total of 8.5.

Chicago White Sox’s last 10 games have seen an average of 9.5 combined runs, with 7 games clearing the same line of 8.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Given the Detroit Tigers’ scoring consistency and the White Sox’s shaky form, the Tigers seem to be in a better position to clinch this game. Their key players have shown promising form, and if they can translate that into runs on the road, they have a high chance of overcoming the White Sox’s home advantage.

This looks like a strong spot for the Detroit Tigers to come through.

Over/Under Prediction

In their last five games, the Chicago White Sox have posted 4.2 runs per game, while the Detroit Tigers have averaged 5.2. This recent output is key to judging the total.

These teams are combining for 9.4 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.5, a crucial pivot point in betting markets. Our pick is Over 8.5.

Bookmakers

You’ll find these markets at: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, Fanatics, Caesars.

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