Introduction

As the Miami Marlins matchup to face the Atlanta Braves, the spotlight falls on their road performance. The Marlins have delivered standout moments away from home, but they’ll need to be at their best to overcome the Braves, who have been holding their own at Truist Park. This matchup analysis dives into the statistical trends and key player performances, making sense of it all for your MLB betting pick.

Game Time

The game is set for Sunday, August 10 at 01:35 PM ET in Truist Park, a stage that rewards high-scoring lineups.

Odds & Spread Line

Miami Marlins: +112
Atlanta Braves: -141
Over/Under Line: 8.5
Spread Line:
Miami Marlins: +1.5 (-184)
Atlanta Braves: -1.5 (+152)

Latest Team Records

Miami Marlins: 57-59 (Win %: 0.491)
Atlanta Braves: 49-67 (Win %: 0.422)

Injury Report

Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Miami Marlins

• Kyle Stowers: 0.289 AVG, 25 HR, 71 RBI
• Agustin Ramirez: 0.237 AVG, 17 HR, 52 RBI
• Otto Lopez: 0.245 AVG, 11 HR, 56 RBI

Atlanta Braves

• Matt Olson: 0.26 AVG, 18 HR, 68 RBI
• Austin Riley: 0.26 AVG, 16 HR, 54 RBI
• Ronald Acuna Jr.: 0.306 AVG, 14 HR, 26 RBI

Team Analysis

Miami Marlins

The Miami Marlins will be looking to build on their recent performance as they head into this road game. Their record on the road is balanced which indicates their ability to compete under varying conditions. Kyle Stowers, Agustin Ramirez, and Otto Lopez have been key contributors to their offensive efforts, and their performance in this game could be a deciding factor.

Despite a mixed bag of results in their last five games, the Marlins have shown that they can score runs when it matters. They will need to find consistency at the plate to overcome the Braves’ home advantage. Their recent form suggests they have the potential to deliver in crucial moments, a trait that could serve them well in this game.

• Batting Average: 0.253
• Total Runs Scored: 497
• Home Runs: 113
• OPS: 0.714
• ERA: 4.43
• WHIP: 1.3

Away Record: 29-29 • Home Record: 28-31
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (4.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (5.1 RPG)

---

Atlanta Braves

The Atlanta Braves have had a decent run at home, a factor that could play a significant role in this matchup. They’ve found some rhythm in their last five games, a trend that could give them the edge in this contest. Matt Olson, Austin Riley, and Ronald Acuna Jr. have been notable contributors, and they’ll be crucial to the Braves’ offensive ambitions.

Despite a lackluster overall record, the Braves have been able to keep games competitive, particularly at home. Their recent scoring trends suggest they could challenge the Marlins’ defense, making this an intriguing matchup. The Braves will be seeking to leverage their home advantage to secure a win.

• Batting Average: 0.241
• Total Runs Scored: 477
• Home Runs: 127
• OPS: 0.706
• ERA: 4.25
• WHIP: 1.29

Away Record: 21-37 • Home Record: 29-30
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (5.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (4.9 RPG)

---

Head-to-Head History

Atlanta Braves lead 3–2 (Last 5 games)

• August 09, 2025: MIA 6 @ ATL 8
• August 09, 2025: MIA 1 @ ATL 7
• August 08, 2025: MIA 5 @ ATL 1
• August 07, 2025: MIA 6 @ ATL 8
• June 22, 2025: ATL 3 @ MIA 5

Over/Under Trends

Miami Marlins’ last 10 games have averaged 10.9 total runs per game, with 7 of those going over the posted total of 8.5.

Atlanta Braves’ last 10 games have seen an average of 9.8 combined runs, with 5 games clearing the same line of 8.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

The Marlins come into this game with a balanced road record and recent scoring trends that suggest they can challenge the Braves. With their key players showing good form, and their ability to deliver in crucial moments, the Marlins are the smart pick in this matchup.

The Miami Marlins at +112 have the pieces to make this one interesting.

Over/Under Prediction

Averaging 5.6 runs per game lately, the Atlanta Braves are ramping up offensively, while the Miami Marlins are putting up 4.8. That could influence how this matchup shapes up against the total.

These teams are combining for 10.4 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.5, a crucial pivot point in betting markets. Our pick is Over 8.5.

Bookmakers

Find these odds at: FanDuel, Fanatics, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, MyBookie.ag, Bovada, BetMGM, BetUS, BetRivers.

Parlamaz may earn affiliate commissions from links in this article.