Prediction Details

MLB Prediction: Boston Red Sox vs San Diego Padres (Saturday, August 9 at 08:40 PM ET)

Introduction

The Red Sox, despite facing the challenge of playing on the west coast, have been showing signs of resurgence lately. On the flip side, the Padres have been leveraging their home field advantage throughout the season, making this game a thrilling one to watch and wager on.

Game Time

The first pitch is scheduled for Saturday, August 9 at 08:40 PM ET inside San Diego’s Petco Park, a cold-weather haven for unders.

Starts in 18h 51m

Odds & Spread Line

Boston Red Sox: +136
San Diego Padres: -152
Over/Under Line: 8.0
Spread Line:
Boston Red Sox: +1.5 (-164)
San Diego Padres: -1.5 (+136)

Latest Team Records

Boston Red Sox: 64-52 (Win %: 0.552)
San Diego Padres: 64-51 (Win %: 0.557)

Injury Report

Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Boston Red Sox

  • Trevor Story: 0.261 AVG, 18 HR, 73 RBI
  • Alex Bregman: 0.294 AVG, 14 HR, 45 RBI
  • Wilyer Abreu: 0.25 AVG, 20 HR, 62 RBI

San Diego Padres

  • Manny Machado: 0.3 AVG, 20 HR, 72 RBI
  • Ramon Laureano: 0.295 AVG, 16 HR, 51 RBI
  • Ryan O’Hearn: 0.278 AVG, 14 HR, 44 RBI

Team Analysis

Boston Red Sox

The Boston Red Sox have found their rhythm on the road recently, with their key players showcasing their offensive potential. Trevor Story, Alex Bregman, and Wilyer Abreu have all been instrumental in the team’s recent successful streak. Their consistent performance at the plate has helped the Red Sox maintain a high scoring consistency, significantly contributing to their strong form.

Despite facing the challenge of playing away from home, the Red Sox have demonstrated their ability to adapt to any time zone. Their recent road form has been impressive, with clear signs of increasing confidence and momentum. This has played a major role in their recent success and is likely to be a significant factor in the upcoming game against the Padres.

  • Batting Average: 0.254
  • Total Runs Scored: 577
  • Home Runs: 141
  • OPS: 0.753
  • ERA: 3.72
  • WHIP: 1.3

Away Record: 26-30 • Home Record: 39-22
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (6.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 8-2 (6.7 RPG)


San Diego Padres

The San Diego Padres have proven to be a formidable team at home all season. Key players such as Manny Machado, Ramon Laureano, and Ryan O’Hearn have been consistent in their performance, contributing to the team’s scoring consistency and overall confidence.

While their recent form has been mixed, the Padres have shown their offensive brilliance, especially at home. Their scoring consistency and ability to exploit the home field advantage make them a team to watch out for in this game against the Red Sox.

  • Batting Average: 0.251
  • Total Runs Scored: 476
  • Home Runs: 98
  • OPS: 0.701
  • ERA: 3.58
  • WHIP: 1.21

Away Record: 28-32 • Home Record: 36-20
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (4.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (5.2 RPG)


Head-to-Head History

Boston Red Sox lead 1–0 (Most recent game)

  • August 08, 2025: BOS 10 @ SD 2

Over/Under Trends

Boston Red Sox’s last 10 games have averaged 9.9 total runs per game, with 7 of those going over the posted total of 8.0.

San Diego Padres’ last 10 games have seen an average of 9.4 combined runs, with 5 games clearing the same line of 8.0.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Given their recent form, the Boston Red Sox have a strong chance in this game. Their scoring consistency and momentum, combined with their recent head-to-head success against the Padres, make them a smart pick for this game.

Backing the Boston Red Sox at +136 here could pay off for sharp bettors.

Over/Under Prediction

The San Diego Padres are scoring 4.8 runs per game across their last five, and the Boston Red Sox are at 6.6. Recent form suggests where this total might land.

These teams are combining for 11.4 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.0, a crucial pivot point in betting markets. Our pick is Over 8.0.

Bookmakers

Odds courtesy of: FanDuel, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, MyBookie.ag, DraftKings, BetMGM, Bovada, BetRivers, Fanatics, BetUS.

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