Introduction

As the race for the playoffs intensifies, the Houston Astros and New York Yankees are gearing up for a thrilling American League showdown. The Astros, with their notable road prowess, are ready to take on the Yankees, who have been showing impressive results at home. This MLB prediction dives into the specifics of this anticipated matchup, providing a comprehensive analysis based on recent form, key player performances, and betting odds.

Game Time

Join us for the action on Friday, August 8 at 07:05 PM ET at Yankee Stadium, a venue notorious for its tempting short porch for pull hitters.

Odds & Spread Line

Houston Astros: -120
New York Yankees: +102
Over/Under Line: 8.0
Spread Line:
Houston Astros: -1.5 (+146)
New York Yankees: +1.5 (-178)

Latest Team Records

Houston Astros: 64-51 (Win %: 0.557)
New York Yankees: 61-54 (Win %: 0.53)

Injury Report

Houston Astros will have to face this matchup without Lance McCullers Jr. (Finger) and Brandon Walter (Elbow), both listed as 15-Day-IL. On the other hand, the New York Yankees are dealing with the absence of Fernando Cruz (Oblique), who is on the 15-Day-IL.

Key Player Stats

Houston Astros

• Jose Altuve: 0.28 AVG, 19 HR, 59 RBI
• Jeremy Pena: 0.324 AVG, 11 HR, 43 RBI
• Isaac Paredes: 0.259 AVG, 19 HR, 50 RBI

New York Yankees

• Aaron Judge: 0.339 AVG, 37 HR, 85 RBI
• Cody Bellinger: 0.275 AVG, 20 HR, 66 RBI
• Jazz Chisholm Jr.: 0.24 AVG, 19 HR, 51 RBI

Team Analysis

Houston Astros

The Houston Astros have been enduring a rough patch lately, with a recent record of 2-3 in their last 5 games. However, it’s essential to note their road performance, where they’ve managed a solid 29-27 record. Their ability to perform away from home could be a crucial factor in this matchup. Players like Jose Altuve and Jeremy Pena have been key contributors, and their performances will be critical in this game.

While the Astros’ recent form might not be stellar, their offensive ability shouldn’t be underestimated. They’ve been scoring an average of 4.6 runs per game in their last five outings, indicating their potential to turn the tide. If they can maintain their scoring consistency, there’s a good chance they can capitalize on the Yankees’ recent struggles and secure a win.

• Batting Average: 0.258
• Total Runs Scored: 497
• Home Runs: 126
• OPS: 0.729
• ERA: 3.72
• WHIP: 1.2

Away Record: 29-27 • Home Record: 35-24
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (4.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (4.2 RPG)

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New York Yankees

The New York Yankees have been struggling lately, with a recent record of 1-4 in their last 5 games. Despite their recent form, it’s worth mentioning their strong home record. With a 34-22 record at Yankee Stadium, the Yankees have shown they can take advantage of their home turf. Key standouts like Aaron Judge and Cody Bellinger will be crucial in turning their recent form around and seizing a win.

Scoring has been a significant concern for the Yankees recently, with an average of only 2.2 runs per game in their last five outings. This offensive slump is something they’ll need to address if they hope to overcome the Astros. With their home record backing them up, a resurgence on the offensive end could be the edge they need in this matchup.

• Batting Average: 0.25
• Total Runs Scored: 587
• Home Runs: 182
• OPS: 0.776
• ERA: 4.05
• WHIP: 1.26

Away Record: 27-32 • Home Record: 34-22
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (2.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (4.4 RPG)

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Head-to-Head History

No recent matchups between these teams in 2025.

Over/Under Trends

Houston Astros’ last 10 games have averaged 8.2 total runs per game, with 6 of those going over the posted total of 8.0.

New York Yankees’ last 10 games have seen an average of 9.5 combined runs, with 6 games clearing the same line of 8.0.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Considering the recent form, scoring consistency, and key player performances, the Houston Astros emerge as the smart pick. The Astros have shown their ability to perform on the road and have demonstrated consistent scoring abilities. Coupled with the Yankees’ recent struggles, the Astros have a solid chance of securing a victory in this matchup.

There’s enough in this matchup to support the Houston Astros.

Over/Under Prediction

The New York Yankees are scoring 2.2 runs per game across their last five, and the Houston Astros are at 4.6. This recent form provides a clear indication of where this total might land.

These teams are combining for 6.8 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 8.0. This trend suggests a potential Under 8.0 finish.

Bookmakers

These lines come from: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, BetMGM, BetUS, Bovada, Fanatics, BetRivers.

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