Introduction

Engage your gears for an American League and National League showdown as the Cleveland Guardians lock horns with the New York Mets. This MLB prediction zooms in on two teams with contrasting fortunes on the road and at home. The Guardians have been showing some mettle on their travels, while the Mets have been a force to reckon with on their own turf. This collision of dynamics makes for an intriguing betting landscape.

Game Time

The stage is set for Wednesday, August 6 at 01:10 PM ET inside Citi Field, where the heat of the battle might singe even the most resilient of offenses.

Odds & Spread Line

Cleveland Guardians: +155
New York Mets: -189
Over/Under Line: 7.5
Spread Line:
Cleveland Guardians: +1.5 (-142)
New York Mets: -1.5 (+118)

Latest Team Records

Cleveland Guardians: 58-55 (Win %: 0.513)
New York Mets: 63-51 (Win %: 0.553)

Injury Report

The Cleveland Guardians are feeling the pinch with Andrew Walters and Ben Lively out due to injuries. On the flip side, the New York Mets are in the pink of health with no major injuries to report.

Key Player Stats

Cleveland Guardians

• Jose Ramirez: 0.299 AVG, 23 HR, 61 RBI
• Steven Kwan: 0.283 AVG, 9 HR, 38 RBI
• Kyle Manzardo: 0.234 AVG, 18 HR, 48 RBI

New York Mets

• Pete Alonso: 0.266 AVG, 25 HR, 90 RBI
• Juan Soto: 0.25 AVG, 25 HR, 63 RBI
• Francisco Lindor: 0.253 AVG, 21 HR, 64 RBI

Team Analysis

Cleveland Guardians

The Cleveland Guardians have been on a roll in recent games, with a 4-1 win record in their last five games. Their road performance has been commendable, maintaining a nearly even win-loss ratio. The Guardians’ key players, Jose Ramirez and Steven Kwan, have been instrumental in their recent success and their performance could be a key determinant in the upcoming matchup.

Despite the absence of Andrew Walters and Ben Lively, the Guardians have been managing to keep their heads above water. The team’s recent form and road performance, combined with the strong contributions from their key players, make the Guardians a team to consider in the betting landscape.

• Batting Average: 0.229
• Total Runs Scored: 443
• Home Runs: 118
• OPS: 0.678
• ERA: 3.87
• WHIP: 1.3

Away Record: 29-28 • Home Record: 29-27
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (4.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (5.0 RPG)

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New York Mets

On the other hand, the New York Mets have hit a rough patch in their recent games, with a 1-4 record in their last five games. However, their home record paints a different picture with 38 wins in 58 games. The Mets’ fortress, Citi Field, has proven to be a challenging ground for opponents, and this home advantage could play a pivotal role in the upcoming game.

Key standouts like Pete Alonso and Juan Soto, despite their average batting stats, have been contributing significantly to the team’s run tally. The Mets will be banking on their home advantage and the performance of these players to bounce back from their recent slump.

• Batting Average: 0.241
• Total Runs Scored: 498
• Home Runs: 139
• OPS: 0.728
• ERA: 3.68
• WHIP: 1.32

Away Record: 25-31 • Home Record: 38-20
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (5.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 3-7 (4.1 RPG)

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Head-to-Head History

Cleveland Guardians lead 2–0 (Last 2 games)

• August 05, 2025: CLE 3 @ NYM 2
• August 04, 2025: CLE 7 @ NYM 6

Over/Under Trends

Cleveland Guardians’ last 10 games have averaged 8.9 total runs per game, with 6 of those going over the posted total of 7.5.

New York Mets’ last 10 games have seen an average of 9.6 combined runs, with 6 games clearing the same line of 7.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

The Cleveland Guardians come into this game riding a wave of momentum from their recent wins. Their commendable road record coupled with their current form makes them a formidable opponent. Given their recent head-to-head record against the Mets, the Guardians seem primed to extend their winning streak.

The Cleveland Guardians at +155 present value in a spot that’s easy to overlook.

Over/Under Prediction

The New York Mets are scoring 5.4 runs per game across their last five, and the Cleveland Guardians are at 4.4. Recent form suggests where this total might land.

These teams are combining for 9.8 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 7.5, a crucial pivot point in betting markets. Our pick is Over 7.5.

Bookmakers

Lines retrieved from: FanDuel, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, MyBookie.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, Fanatics, Bovada, BetUS, BetMGM.

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