Introduction

Get ready for a compelling MLB clash as the Philadelphia Phillies square off against the New York Yankees in an American League and National League showdown that promises drama, quality batting, and top-of-the-line pitching.

Game Time

First pitch will be thrown at Friday, July 25 at 07:05 PM ET at Yankee Stadium, where the short porch tempts every pull hitter.

Moneyline Odds

Philadelphia Phillies: +130
New York Yankees: -154
Over/Under Line: 9.5

Latest Team Records

Philadelphia Phillies have a record of 58-44 with a win percentage of 0.569, while the New York Yankees hold a record of 56-46 with a win percentage of 0.549.

Injury Report

The Philadelphia Phillies are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key injuries for the New York Yankees include:

• Clarke Schmidt (Elbow) – Status: 15-Day-IL. Schmidt shared on a personal social media account that the Tommy John surgery he underwent July 11 was successful, Gary Phillips of the New York Daily News reports.
• Mark Leiter Jr. (Leg) – Status: 15-Day-IL. Yankees manager Aaron Boone said Thursday that he’s hopeful Leiter (leg) can resume a throwing program this weekend, Greg Joyce of the New York Post reports.
• Oswaldo Cabrera (Ankle) – Status: 60-Day-IL. Yankees manager Aaron Boone said Thursday that there is a “small possibility” that Cabrera (ankle) could return to action this season, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.

Key Player Stats

Philadelphia Phillies

• Kyle Schwarber: 0.25 AVG, 34 HR, 78 RBI
• Nick Castellanos: 0.269 AVG, 13 HR, 55 RBI
• Trea Turner: 0.29 AVG, 11 HR, 41 RBI

New York Yankees

• Aaron Judge: 0.345 AVG, 37 HR, 84 RBI
• Cody Bellinger: 0.285 AVG, 18 HR, 57 RBI
• Jazz Chisholm Jr.: 0.247 AVG, 18 HR, 48 RBI

Team Analysis

Philadelphia Phillies

The Philadelphia Phillies have been turning in a fair performance on the road, maintaining a steady Away Record of 25-25. Their team rhythm, anchored by solid performances from Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos, has kept them competitive. Despite their evenly split road record, the Phillies continue to show flashes of brilliance and can be considered a live underdog.

With recent form putting them at 3-2 in their last five games, the Phillies showcase scoring consistency, bringing crucial momentum into this contest. Backed by their capable offensive core, the Phillies could indeed trouble the home team with a surprise offensive outburst.

• Batting Average: 0.254
• Total Runs Scored: 469
• Home Runs: 115
• OPS: 0.735
• ERA: 3.71
• WHIP: 1.25

Away Record: 25-25 • Home Record: 33-19
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (5.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (5.2 RPG)

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New York Yankees

At home, the New York Yankees have maintained an upper hand. On the back of superior performances from Aaron Judge and Cody Bellinger, the Yankees have a formidable batting lineup that often exploits the home ground advantage. In spite of key injuries, the Yankees have demonstrated resilience, displaying the depth of their roster.

Just like the Phillies, the Yankees have a similar 3-2 last-five streak, suggesting a closely contested battle. With the backing of strong recent results at home and the extra boost provided by their top-performing individuals, the Yankees will look to control the game, demonstrating their supremacy over their National League counterparts.

• Batting Average: 0.254
• Total Runs Scored: 530
• Home Runs: 163
• OPS: 0.787
• ERA: 3.89
• WHIP: 1.23

Away Record: 26-27 • Home Record: 30-19
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (5.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (4.9 RPG)

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Head-to-Head History

No recent matchups between these teams in 2025.

Over/Under Trends

Philadelphia Phillies’ last 10 games have averaged 9.3 total runs per game, with 5 of those going over the posted total of 9.5.

New York Yankees’ last 10 games have seen an average of 9.7 combined runs, with 5 games clearing the same line of 9.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Even though the New York Yankees are favored at home, do not count out the Philadelphia Phillies bandwagon. Building on the momentum from their recent robust performance and their aggressive offensive lineup, the Phillies are well-positioned to deliver a strong performance. Factor in their solid road record, and they seem to have the chops to give the Yankees a run for their money. The wise move here would be to place the wager on the Phillies, who are poised for an impressive showing.

Trust the Philadelphia Phillies at +130 to punch above their weight and pull off the upset.

Over/Under Prediction

The New York Yankees are scoring 5.2 runs per game across their last five, and the Philadelphia Phillies are at 5.2. Recent form suggests where this total might land.

These teams are combining for 10.4 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 9.5, a crucial pivot point in betting markets. Our pick is Over 9.5.

Bookmakers

Find these odds at: FanDuel, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, MyBookie.ag, DraftKings, BetMGM, Bovada, BetRivers, BetUS, Fanatics.

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