Prediction Details

MLB Prediction: New York Mets vs Kansas City Royals (Sunday, July 13 at 02:10 PM ET)

Introduction

The excitement is high for the imminent MLB matchup between the New York Mets and the Kansas City Royals. As both teams look to solidify their standing in their respective divisions, this game is set to be an intense and competitive affair, laden with topnotch skill display and tactical prowess.

Game Time

The game kicks off at Sunday, July 13 at 02:10 PM ET in Kauffman Stadium, known for its deep outfield gaps.

Moneyline Odds

New York Mets: -141
Kansas City Royals: +115

Over/Under Line: 8.5

Latest Team Records

New York Mets have a record of 54-41 with a win percentage of 0.568, while the Kansas City Royals hold a record of 46-49 with a win percentage of 0.484.

Injury Report

Key injuries for the New York Mets include:

  • Dedniel Nunez (Elbow) – Status: 15-Day-IL. Nunez (elbow) is scheduled to undergo Tommy John surgery next week, Mike Puma of the New York Post reports.
  • Paul Blackburn (Shoulder) – Status: 15-Day-IL. Blackburn (shoulder) will throw a bullpen session Sunday before beginning a rehab assignment at Single-A Port St. Lucie after the All-Star break, MLB.com reports.
  • Starling Marte (Knee) – Status: 10-Day-IL. Mets manager Carlos Mendoza said Friday that the results of Marte’s (knee) MRI were “very encouraging,” and the Mets expect Marte to return after the All-Star break, Laura Albanese of Newsday reports.

The Kansas City Royals are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

New York Mets

  • Pete Alonso: 0.281 AVG, 21 HR, 77 RBI
  • Juan Soto: 0.265 AVG, 22 HR, 54 RBI
  • Francisco Lindor: 0.263 AVG, 19 HR, 54 RBI

Kansas City Royals

  • Bobby Witt Jr.: 0.297 AVG, 14 HR, 54 RBI
  • Vinnie Pasquantino: 0.273 AVG, 15 HR, 56 RBI
  • Maikel Garcia: 0.301 AVG, 8 HR, 40 RBI

Team Analysis

New York Mets

The New York Mets have performed admirably this season, maintaining a strong winning percentage. The team’s offensive prowess has been displayed by key players such as Pete Alonso, Juan Soto, and Francisco Lindor, who continue to make substantial contributions in HRs and RBIs. Their efforts have kept the team’s offensive momentum, providing the Mets with frequent scoring opportunities. Despite having some players on the injured list, the Mets showcase a commendable depth in their roster, retaining confidence and efficiency on the field.

  • Batting Average: 0.244
  • Total Runs Scored: 421
  • Home Runs: 123
  • OPS: 0.74
  • ERA: 3.59
  • WHIP: 1.3

Home Record: 33-14 • Road Record: 22-27

Last 5 Games: W-W-L-L-W (4.4 runs per game)


Kansas City Royals

The Kansas City Royals, despite having a lower win percentage than the Mets, have been showing signs of a resurgence. With players like Bobby Witt Jr., Vinnie Pasquantino, and Maikel Garcia supporting the team’s offensive formation with their solid batting averages and RBIs, the Royals have a reasonable potential to pose a challenge. These key performers are becoming increasingly reliable and their continued performance could provide the momentum the Royals need to break out of their recent pattern of inconsistency.

  • Batting Average: 0.245
  • Total Runs Scored: 324
  • Home Runs: 73
  • OPS: 0.676
  • ERA: 3.51
  • WHIP: 1.22

Home Record: 23-26 • Road Record: 23-24

Last 5 Games: L-L-W-W-W (4.2 runs per game)

Head-to-Head History

Kansas City Royals 0–2 New York Mets (Last 2 games)

  • 2025-07-12: NYM 3 @ KC 1
  • 2025-07-12: NYM 8 @ KC 3

Over/Under Trends

New York Mets‘s recent games have seen an average of 7.0 total runs scored per game over their last 6 matchups, with 2 games going over the total line.

Kansas City Royals‘s recent games have averaged 8.0 total runs per game over their last 6 matchups, with 2 games going over the total of 8.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

The New York Mets are primed as the smart bet for this matchup. Their strong record, bolstered by the formidable performances of their key players, gives them the edge over the Kansas City Royals. Coupling this with their recent form and over/under trends, there is conspicuous value in backing the Mets.

Our prediction leans toward a confident result for the New York Mets at -141.

Over/Under Betting Prediction

Our pick is Over 8.5. Scoring trends are close to the total line of 8.5, making this a toss-up

Pick: Over

Bookmakers

Available at: FanDuel, BetOnline.ag, Fanatics, LowVig.ag, Caesars, Bovada, DraftKings, BetUS, BetMGM.

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