Introduction

This MLB matchup pitches the Pittsburgh Pirates against the Minnesota Twins in a battle between two teams that have had different trails this season. Both teams bring unique strengths and weaknesses to this encounter, and this analytical prediction will delve into them, providing bettors with various insights to make informed decisions.

Game Time

The game kicks off at Sunday, July 13 at 02:10 PM ET at Target Field, generally pitcher-friendly with cooler temps.

Moneyline Odds

Pittsburgh Pirates: +115
Minnesota Twins: -141

Over/Under Line: 9.0

Latest Team Records

Pittsburgh Pirates have a record of 38-57 with a win percentage of 0.4, while the Minnesota Twins hold a record of 46-48 with a win percentage of 0.489.

Injury Report

Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Pittsburgh Pirates

• Andrew McCutchen: 0.259 AVG, 8 HR, 31 RBI
• Bryan Reynolds: 0.224 AVG, 10 HR, 46 RBI
• Oneil Cruz: 0.208 AVG, 16 HR, 37 RBI

Minnesota Twins

• Byron Buxton: 0.273 AVG, 20 HR, 53 RBI
• Trevor Larnach: 0.25 AVG, 13 HR, 41 RBI
• Ty France: 0.252 AVG, 6 HR, 42 RBI

Team Analysis

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been struggling with their form recently, evidenced by their less-than-ideal win record. They’re lacking offensive rhythm, with key players such as Andrew McCutchen and Bryan Reynolds failing to consistently hit homers or bring in runs. Oneil Cruz, despite his power hitting, has struggled to keep his average up. Seeking a rebound from their current form, the Pirates will rely on precision and a solid team effort. Their road record paints a bleak picture, and they are looking to break out of this slump.

• Batting Average: 0.23
• Total Runs Scored: 320
• Home Runs: 64
• OPS: 0.64
• ERA: 3.67
• WHIP: 1.2

Home Record: 26-21 • Road Record: 12-37

Last 5 Games: L-L-L-L-L (2.8 runs per game)

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Minnesota Twins

The Minnesota Twins, on the other hand, bring a competitive spirit into this matchup, boosted by their recent wins. They’ve showed impressive scoring consistency and power hitting, with players like Byron Buxton and Trevor Larnach at the forefront. Ty France, despite not being a home-run specialist, has been crucial with his runs batted in. With a strong home record and a recent boost in offensive output, the Twins are riding a wave of confidence and momentum, intent on extending their winning streak.

• Batting Average: 0.239
• Total Runs Scored: 389
• Home Runs: 108
• OPS: 0.702
• ERA: 4.1
• WHIP: 1.25

Home Record: 28-19 • Road Record: 19-29

Last 5 Games: W-W-L-W-W (5.4 runs per game)

Head-to-Head History

Minnesota Twins 2–0 Pittsburgh Pirates (Last 2 games)

• 2025-07-12: PIT 4 @ MIN 12
• 2025-07-12: PIT 1 @ MIN 2

Over/Under Trends

Pittsburgh Pirates‘s recent games have seen an average of 7.1 total runs scored per game over their last 7 matchups, with 0 games going over the total line.

Minnesota Twins‘s recent games have averaged 8.4 total runs per game over their last 7 matchups, with 2 games going over the total of 9.0.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

The Minnesota Twins have been outperforming the Pittsburgh Pirates in their recent games, with the former’s offensive rhythm, confidence, and momentum making them the smart bet. This, coupled with the Twins’ better player stats, home record, and superior performance in the last 5 games, enforces the idea that they offer great value for this matchup. The Twins’ run average in the last 7 games further solidifies their scoring prowess. Whether it’s value, matchups, or momentum, all factors point towards the Twins coming out on top.

All signs point to a victory for the Minnesota Twins at -141.

Over/Under Betting Prediction

Our pick is Under 9.0. Recent offensive output has been modest, with combined runs around 7.9, pointing towards a low-scoring duel. The total of 9.0 will be critical to bettors as it borders the line.

Pick: Under

Bookmakers

Odds courtesy of: FanDuel, BetOnline.ag, Fanatics, LowVig.ag, Caesars, Bovada, DraftKings, BetUS, BetMGM.

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