Introduction

As the heat of the summer settles in, Major League Baseball is poised to bring fans a scorching showdown between the New York Mets and the Kansas City Royals. When both teams take to the field, it’s not just a game, but also a battle for dominance and a push for precious post-season positions.

Game Time

The action begins at Saturday, July 12 at 04:10 PM ET in Kauffman Stadium, known for its deep outfield gaps.

Moneyline Odds

New York Mets: -130
Kansas City Royals: +108

Over/Under Line: 9.5

Latest Team Records

New York Mets have a record of 53-41 with a win percentage of 0.564, while the Kansas City Royals hold a record of 46-48 with a win percentage of 0.489.

Injury Report

Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

New York Mets

• Pete Alonso: 0.284 AVG, 21 HR, 76 RBI
• Juan Soto: 0.264 AVG, 21 HR, 53 RBI
• Brandon Nimmo: 0.26 AVG, 18 HR, 53 RBI

Kansas City Royals

• Bobby Witt Jr.: 0.295 AVG, 13 HR, 52 RBI
• Vinnie Pasquantino: 0.27 AVG, 15 HR, 56 RBI
• Maikel Garcia: 0.305 AVG, 8 HR, 40 RBI

Team Analysis

New York Mets

The New York Mets have been exhibiting solid form this season and certainly have the advantage with heavy hitters like Pete Alonso, Juan Soto, and Brandon Nimmo stepping up to the plate. Their confidence and depth are definitely replenished with these players in their lineup, contributing to not just a high-scoring capacity, but also a versatile offense. The Mets, however, have seen a mixed bag of results in their last five games and would be seeking a way to string together more consistent performances. They would be looking to tap into their offensive rhythm and power hitting to topple the Kansas City Royals and keep their winning momentum alive.

• Batting Average: 0.244
• Total Runs Scored: 413
• Home Runs: 121
• OPS: 0.738
• ERA: 3.59
• WHIP: 1.3

Home Record: 33-14 • Road Record: 21-27

Last 5 Games: W-L-L-W-L (4.6 runs per game)

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Kansas City Royals

The Kansas City Royals, though slightly lagging behind the Mets in terms of the record, are riding high on confidence with their successful run in the recent games. Players like Bobby Witt Jr., Vinnie Pasquantino, and Maikel Garcia have been leading the charge for the Royals, delivering key performances when called upon. The Royals will look to harness this momentum and confidence to overcome the Mets. Their recent scoring bursts have been impressive and could play a crucial role in their upcoming game.

• Batting Average: 0.245
• Total Runs Scored: 321
• Home Runs: 72
• OPS: 0.675
• ERA: 3.46
• WHIP: 1.21

Home Record: 23-25 • Road Record: 23-24

Last 5 Games: L-W-W-W-W (4.8 runs per game)

Head-to-Head History

Kansas City Royals 0–1 New York Mets (Last 1 games)

• 2025-07-12: NYM 8 @ KC 3

Over/Under Trends

New York Mets‘s recent games have seen an average of 7.0 total runs scored per game over their last 6 matchups, with 2 games going over the total line.

Kansas City Royals‘s recent games have averaged 8.0 total runs per game over their last 6 matchups, with 2 games going over the total of 9.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Despite the Mets having an edge in terms of record, the Royals appear to be the smart bet here. They have been on a roll offensively and have momentum in their favor. With the value at +108, the in-form Royals have the potential to cause an upset against the Mets, particularly leveraging their high-scoring games and exploiting their recent instability. We predict a confident result for the Kansas City Royals at +108.

Over/Under Betting Prediction

Low scoring has been the trend in recent games for both teams. Given their strong pitching and the evidence from the Over/Under trends, our pick is to bet under the total line of 9.5. This may be a bold bet, but the current trends and statistics support it.

Pick: Under

Bookmakers

Betting lines provided by: FanDuel, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, Fanatics, BetMGM, BetRivers, BetUS, Bovada.

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