Prediction Details

MLB Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres (Saturday, July 12 at 07:35 PM ET)

Introduction

The heat of the MLB season continues to simmer as the Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres prepare to face off this Saturday. With a strong line-up of hitters on both sides, this match is set to bring forth a display of power and precision that baseball fans can eagerly anticipate.

Game Time

The match is scheduled to take place on Saturday, July 12 at 07:35 PM ET.

Moneyline Odds

Philadelphia Phillies: -147
San Diego Padres: +123

Over/Under Line: 7.5

Latest Team Records

Philadelphia Phillies have a record of 54-39 with a win percentage of 0.581, while the San Diego Padres hold a record of 50-43 with a win percentage of 0.538.

Injury Report

Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Philadelphia Phillies

  • Kyle Schwarber: 0.253 AVG, 29 HR, 68 RBI
  • Trea Turner: 0.294 AVG, 11 HR, 40 RBI
  • Nick Castellanos: 0.276 AVG, 11 HR, 50 RBI

San Diego Padres

  • Manny Machado: 0.291 AVG, 16 HR, 54 RBI
  • Gavin Sheets: 0.269 AVG, 14 HR, 50 RBI
  • Fernando Tatis Jr.: 0.262 AVG, 16 HR, 41 RBI

Team Analysis

Philadelphia Phillies

As the match nears, the Philadelphia Phillies display promising momentum with their formidable offensive strength. Key contributor to this positive trend includes the robust performance of Kyle Schwarber, whose power-packed plays have been driving run accumulation for the team. Translating this power on the plate, Nick Castellanos and Trea Turner have also contributed to the team’s strong offensive heft.

The confidence realized from their recent 3-2 winning run reinforces the Phillies’ position, with scoring consistency the centerpiece of their play. However, looking forward to their upcoming battle with the Padres, they will be looking to keep their momentum going and build on their win percentage, showcasing their balanced line-up to keep their scoring consistency intact.

  • Batting Average: 0.257
  • Total Runs Scored: 430
  • Home Runs: 100
  • OPS: 0.737
  • ERA: 3.66
  • WHIP: 1.25

Home Record: 30-16 • Road Record: 24-23

Last 5 Games: W-L-L-W-W (5.0 runs per game)


San Diego Padres

The San Diego Padres’ recent form has been somewhat volatile, making them a wildcard in their upcoming matchup against the Phillies. Their key players, specifically Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis Jr., have brought significant offensive output, producing strong batting averages and driving home runs. However, they’ll be looking to Gavin Sheets to provide the necessary support in creating scoring opportunities.

Despite an inconsistent win-loss pattern in recent games, the Padres have shown resilience, rebounding from losses with resounding wins. This strong-minded disposition could prove advantageous against the Phillies, thriving off their own momentum to potentially turn the tables in favor of the Padres.

  • Batting Average: 0.245
  • Total Runs Scored: 373
  • Home Runs: 80
  • OPS: 0.689
  • ERA: 3.69
  • WHIP: 1.24

Home Record: 29-17 • Road Record: 21-26

Last 5 Games: W-L-W-L-W (2.8 runs per game)

Head-to-Head History

San Diego Padres 1–2 Philadelphia Phillies (Last 3 games)

  • 2025-07-02: SD 1 @ PHI 5
  • 2025-07-02: SD 6 @ PHI 4
  • 2025-06-30: SD 0 @ PHI 4

Over/Under Trends

Philadelphia Phillies have averaged 8.3 runs per game over their last 6 games, with 2 games going over the total.

San Diego Padres have averaged 6.7 runs per game over their last 7 games, with 2 games going over the total of 7.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Given the Philadelphia Phillies consistent scoring and strong win record, they appear a smart bet for this encounter. Aided by key hitters like Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos, they have showcased an unwavering strength at the plate, allowing them to maintain consistent pressure on their opposition. As such, whilst mindful of the Padres’ own firepower, investing in a Phillies’ victory at -147 brings promising value to the table.

Over/Under Betting Prediction

Considering the recent high-scoring games from both teams, and looking at their offensive line-ups, the expectation for a high scoring game is strong. With a combined average that easily surpasses the current line, a bet on Over 7.5 seems like sound advice.

Pick: Over

Bookmakers

Shop the odds at: FanDuel, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, BetMGM, BetRivers, Fanatics, BetUS, Bovada.

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