Introduction

In a highly anticipated MLB showdown, the Arizona Diamondbacks are set to face the San Diego Padres on Thursday, July 10. Both teams are eager to assert dominance in this matchup, but only one can emerge victorious. Read on for our in-depth analysis and betting predictions for this thrilling contest.

Game Time

The game is slated to commence at 09:40 PM ET. As the tension mounts, both teams will be crafting their strategy and gearing up for an intense showdown.

Moneyline Odds

The odds are as follows:
Arizona Diamondbacks: -120
San Diego Padres: +100

Over/Under Line: 8.5

Latest Team Records

Arizona Diamondbacks have a record of 45-47 with a win percentage of 0.489, while the San Diego Padres hold a record of 49-42 with a win percentage of 0.538.

Injury Report

Key injuries for the Arizona Diamondbacks include:

• Merrill Kelly (Calf) – Status: Day-To-Day. Kelly said after Tuesday’s 1-0 loss to the Padres that he was lifted early from his start after experiencing right calf discomfort, but he doesn’t believe it will be anything worrisome moving forward, ArizonaSports.com reports.
• Shelby Miller (Forearm) – Status: 15-Day-IL. Arizona manager Torey Lovullo said after Monday’s 6-3 win over the Padres that Miller (forearm) is scheduled to undergo an MRI, Jesse Friedman of GoPHNX.com reports.
• Kendall Graveman (Hip) – Status: 15-Day-IL. Graveman (hip) will make a rehab appearance in the rookie-level Arizona Complex League on Tuesday, MLB.com reports.

Key injuries for the San Diego Padres include:

• Jhony Brito (Forearm) – Status: 60-Day-IL. Brito underwent a UCL internal brace surgery and a repair of his flexor tendon last month and will miss the entire 2025 season, AJ Cassavell of MLB.com reports.

Key Player Stats

Here are some critical player stats for both the teams.

Arizona Diamondbacks

• Eugenio Suarez: 0.252 AVG, 28 HR, 74 RBI
• Josh Naylor: 0.296 AVG, 11 HR, 58 RBI
• Geraldo Perdomo: 0.267 AVG, 9 HR, 60 RBI

San Diego Padres

• Manny Machado: 0.29 AVG, 15 HR, 53 RBI
• Gavin Sheets: 0.262 AVG, 13 HR, 49 RBI
• Fernando Tatis Jr.: 0.26 AVG, 15 HR, 40 RBI

Team Analysis

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Arizona Diamondbacks are a team seeking to rebound after an inconsistent performance. Despite some notable injuries, they’ve displayed resiliency and put up a fierce fight. Eugenio Suarez, Josh Naylor, and Geraldo Perdomo have risen to the occasion with their power-hitting, offering hope for better performances. Looking at their last five games, the D-backs have shown a promising “zig-zag” form, with their scoring consistency indicating a possibility of resurgence.

• Batting Average: 0.251
• Total Runs Scored: 467
• Home Runs: 133
• OPS: 0.77
• ERA: 4.64
• WHIP: 1.32

Home Record: 23-25 • Road Record: 23-22

Last 5 Games: W-L-W-L-W (4.2 runs per game)

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San Diego Padres

The San Diego Padres have been struggling for consistency, with their last five games showing a clear pattern of instability. That said, their key players, Manny Machado, Gavin Sheets, and Fernando Tatis Jr., have shown an ability to step up when required. Despite the fluctuations in form, the Padres’ confidence remains high, allaying any concerns of potential setbacks on the field.

• Batting Average: 0.245
• Total Runs Scored: 367
• Home Runs: 77
• OPS: 0.687
• ERA: 3.64
• WHIP: 1.23

Home Record: 28-17 • Road Record: 21-26

Last 5 Games: L-W-L-W-L (2.8 runs per game)

Head-to-Head History

San Diego Padres 2–3 Arizona Diamondbacks (Last 5 games)

• 2025-07-10: ARI 8 @ SD 2
• 2025-07-09: ARI 0 @ SD 1
• 2025-07-08: ARI 6 @ SD 3
• 2025-06-15: SD 8 @ ARI 2
• 2025-06-14: SD 7 @ ARI 8

Over/Under Trends

Arizona Diamondbacks have averaged 11.9 runs per game over their last 7 games, with 5 games going over the total.

San Diego Padres have averaged 6.7 runs per game over their last 7 games, with 2 games barely going over the total of 8.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Given their slight edge in recent head-to-head matchups and the power behind bats like Eugenio Suarez and Josh Naylor, the Arizona Diamondbacks at -120 offer good value. While both teams have shown inconsistency, the Diamondbacks’ offensive output in recent games suggests they’re poised to capitalize on a shaky Padres defense. The recent form, combined with stronger hitting stats, tilts the scales in Arizona’s favor.

Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (-120)

Over/Under Betting Prediction

The Diamondbacks’ offensive firepower has led to high run totals lately, and the Padres — despite their inconsistency — have a roster capable of producing when it counts. With both teams averaging solid combined totals and Arizona alone pushing games over the line, the Over 8.5 presents a smart betting option. Expect fireworks on both sides of the plate.

Pick: Over 8.5

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