Introduction

MLB fans can expect a clash of wills this Thursday as the Miami Marlins square off against the Cincinnati Reds. There’s more than just pride at stake — with both teams languishing around the .500 mark, each game becomes increasingly critical in shaping their season trajectory.

Game Time

This hard-pressed contest will take place on Thursday, July 10, kicking off at 05:10 PM (ET).

Moneyline Odds

Miami Marlins: +145
Cincinnati Reds: -175

Over/Under Line: 8.5

Latest Team Records

Miami Marlins have a record of 42-49 with a win percentage of 0.462, while the Cincinnati Reds hold a record of 47-46 with a win percentage of 0.505.

Injury Report

Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Miami Marlins

• Kyle Stowers: 0.28 AVG, 16 HR, 48 RBI
• Agustin Ramirez: 0.249 AVG, 14 HR, 40 RBI
• Otto Lopez: 0.249 AVG, 9 HR, 44 RBI

Cincinnati Reds

• Elly De La Cruz: 0.275 AVG, 18 HR, 60 RBI
• TJ Friedl: 0.278 AVG, 8 HR, 31 RBI
• Spencer Steer: 0.252 AVG, 10 HR, 37 RBI

Team Analysis

Miami Marlins

The Miami Marlins have been displaying a decent batting display with players like Kyle Stowers and Agustin Ramirez providing substantial power from the plate. Otto Lopez also hasn’t been too far behind. Their recent form, however, leaves a bit to be desired, as reflected in their last 5 games (L-W-W-L-W). The Marlins will need to capitalize on their offense and maintain scoring consistency to stay competitive in this match-up.

• Batting Average: 0.254
• Total Runs Scored: 387
• Home Runs: 80
• OPS: 0.706
• ERA: 4.62
• WHIP: 1.33

Home Record: 20-27 • Road Record: 22-22

Last 5 Games: L-W-W-L-W (4.8 runs per game)

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Cincinnati Reds

The Cincinnati Reds enter this game looking to rebound from a tough stretch, having dropped four of their last five contests. However, their core lineup — Elly De La Cruz, TJ Friedl, and Spencer Steer — remains dangerous at the plate. Despite recent struggles, the Reds’ season-long power numbers and strong home record suggest they’re capable of flipping the script quickly. Their ability to deliver sudden scoring bursts could be the difference if they settle in early.

• Batting Average: 0.244
• Total Runs Scored: 418
• Home Runs: 97
• OPS: 0.708
• ERA: 4.03
• WHIP: 1.25

Home Record: 25-21 • Road Record: 22-25

Last 5 Games: W-L-L-L-L (2.4 runs per game)

Head-to-Head History

Cincinnati Reds 2–3 Miami Marlins (Last 5 games)

• 2025-07-09: MIA 2 @ CIN 7
• 2025-07-08: MIA 12 @ CIN 2
• 2025-07-07: MIA 5 @ CIN 1
• 2025-04-23: CIN 5 @ MIA 2
• 2025-04-22: CIN 3 @ MIA 4

Over/Under Trends

Miami Marlins have averaged 8.7 runs per game over their last 6 games, with 4 games going over the total.

Cincinnati Reds have averaged 6.3 runs per game over their last 7 games, with 3 games going over the total of 8.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

While the Marlins have shown commendable spirit in their recent games, the red-hot Reds appear to be in a better position, with a combination of power and scoring prowess at the plate. Their array of run scorers and reliable hitters paints a promising picture. So, even though the Reds have been on a losing streak, this might just spur them on to claim a decisive victory. Given their form and matchup edge, we’re siding with the Cincinnati Reds at -175.

Over/Under Betting Prediction

Considering the recent scoring exploits of both teams, and their tendency to feature in high-scoring games, the Over seems like the smart bet. The Marlins have surpassed the average runs per game required for the Over bet, and despite the Reds’ slightly lower score average, their explosive offense can swing the game’s total score. So bank on a potential slugfest and consider the Over 8.5.

Bookmakers

Shop the odds at: FanDuel, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, MyBookie.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, Fanatics, BetRivers, BetUS, Bovada, BetMGM.

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