- July 19, 2025
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MLB Prediction: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets (Sunday, July 20 at 01:40 PM ET)
Introduction
Ready your bets, baseball fans, as we anticipate an exciting National League showdown between the Cincinnati Reds and the New York Mets. This game will showcase talented clubs equipped with their lineup of stellar athletes, promising a high level of competition and thrilling moments to savor.
Game Time
The first pitch is scheduled for Sunday, July 20 at 01:40 PM ET in pitcher-leaning Citi Field.
Moneyline Odds
Cincinnati Reds: +134
New York Mets: -149
Over/Under Line: 8.0
Latest Team Records
Cincinnati Reds have a record of 51-47 with a win percentage of 0.52, while the New York Mets hold a record of 55-43 with a win percentage of 0.561.
Injury Report
The Cincinnati Reds are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key injuries for the New York Mets include:
- Max Kranick (Elbow) – Status: 15-Day-IL. Kranick (elbow) will likely undergo Tommy John surgery, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
Key Player Stats
Cincinnati Reds
- Elly De La Cruz: 0.283 AVG, 18 HR, 64 RBI
- TJ Friedl: 0.274 AVG, 9 HR, 33 RBI
- Spencer Steer: 0.248 AVG, 11 HR, 39 RBI
New York Mets
- Pete Alonso: 0.277 AVG, 21 HR, 77 RBI
- Juan Soto: 0.262 AVG, 24 HR, 57 RBI
- Brandon Nimmo: 0.262 AVG, 18 HR, 53 RBI
Team Analysis
Cincinnati Reds
Carrying a substantial momentum from their last five games with a winning streak of three games, the Cincinnati Reds are in high spirits. The scoring consistency and rhythm displayed lately illustrate their offensive potential as a force to be reckoned with. Players like Elly De La Cruz and TJ Friedl have continued to contribute significantly to the team’s performance.
The Reds are also showing resilience on the road, with a nearly balanced away record. Although Spencer Steer has room to grow, he has shown moments of brilliance with his home run count ticking up. Overall, the Reds pose a considerable threat offensively, despite an occasional inconsistency in recent weeks.
- Batting Average: 0.246
- Total Runs Scored: 449
- Home Runs: 107
- OPS: 0.718
- ERA: 3.89
- WHIP: 1.24
Away Record: 23-25 • Home Record: 28-22
Last 5 Games: W-W-W-L-W (4.8 runs per game)
Last 10 Games: W-W-W-L-W-W-L-L-L-L (3.6 runs per game)
New York Mets
The New York Mets bring key performers like Pete Alonso and Juan Soto into this matchup, with a notable home field advantage that has been a cornerstone of their success. Playing better at home, the Mets have posted a strong 33-15 home record, which has been a key factor in their recent rise. Their offense has been consistent, with important contributions from their top hitters, and their home performance gives them a solid edge in this game.
However, the key challenge lies in the absence of Max Kranick due to injury. The Mets, mastering their home games with a strong home record, will need to summon their road-worthiness for this critical match. Despite occasional scoring inconsistencies, the Mets’ flair for momentum is undeniable, giving them an edge in this match.
- Batting Average: 0.243
- Total Runs Scored: 430
- Home Runs: 125
- OPS: 0.736
- ERA: 3.6
- WHIP: 1.3
Away Record: 22-28 • Home Record: 33-15
Last 5 Games: L-L-W-W-L (4.0 runs per game)
Last 10 Games: L-L-W-W-L-L-W-L-W-W (5.0 runs per game)
Head-to-Head History
New York Mets 0–1 Cincinnati Reds (Last 1 games)
- 2025-07-18: CIN 8 @ NYM 4
Over/Under Trends
Cincinnati Reds‘s recent games have seen an average of 6.3 total runs scored per game over their last 7 matchups, with 3 games going over the total line.
New York Mets‘s recent games have averaged 7.0 total runs per game over their last 6 matchups, with 2 games going over the total of 8.0.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Although they’ve had a few setbacks in recent games, the Mets’ home dominance and their drive to bounce back make them a formidable contender in this matchup. Their scoring consistency at home, combined with their recent home form, makes them the smart pick for this game.
Everything lines up for a solid outing by the New York Mets at -149.
Over/Under Prediction
The New York Mets are scoring 4.0 runs per game across their last five, while the Cincinnati Reds are at 4.8. Recent form might matter more than full-season stats here.
Scoring has been decent but slightly under this number in recent matchups. Despite the earlier projection, recent scoring makes the Over the safer lean. The teams are combining for 8.8 runs per game this season. Our pick is Over 8.0.
Bookmakers
Available at: FanDuel, Fanatics, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, MyBookie.ag, DraftKings, Bovada, BetUS.
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