Prediction Details

MLB Prediction: Boston Red Sox vs Chicago Cubs (Saturday, July 19 at 07:15 PM ET)

Introduction

An American League and National League battle is in the offing as the Boston Red Sox face off against the Chicago Cubs. This clash promises a blend of power and patience at the plate, precision and pace on the mound, with each squad aiming to leverage their strengths to secure a crucial victory in their respective division hunts.

Game Time

The action begins at Saturday, July 19 at 07:15 PM ET at iconic Wrigley Field, where wind can change everything.

Moneyline Odds

Boston Red Sox: +123
Chicago Cubs: -159
Over/Under Line: 9.0

Latest Team Records

Boston Red Sox have a record of 53-45 with a win percentage of 0.541, while the Chicago Cubs hold a record of 57-39 with a win percentage of 0.594.

Injury Report

The Boston Red Sox are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key injuries for the Chicago Cubs include:

  • Porter Hodge (Shoulder) – Status: 15-Day-IL. Hodge allowed six runs on five hits and a walk while retiring only one batter in Tuesday’s 8-1 loss to the Twins.
  • Jameson Taillon (Calf) – Status: 15-Day-IL. None

Key Player Stats

Boston Red Sox

  • Trevor Story: 0.257 AVG, 15 HR, 58 RBI
  • Wilyer Abreu: 0.256 AVG, 18 HR, 52 RBI
  • Ceddanne Rafaela: 0.271 AVG, 14 HR, 48 RBI

Chicago Cubs

  • Seiya Suzuki: 0.263 AVG, 25 HR, 77 RBI
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong: 0.265 AVG, 25 HR, 71 RBI
  • Michael Busch: 0.29 AVG, 19 HR, 59 RBI

Team Analysis

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox have shown some resilience in their recent outings, with a 4-1 record in their last five games, including back-to-back victories. Their offensive core, led by Trevor Story and Wilyer Abreu, has provided notable firepower. As the team looks to capitalize on their momentum, Ceddanne Rafaela’s continued contributions could prove pivotal.

While the Red Sox have been stronger at home, they’ve been able to hold their ground on the road as well, providing a solid foundation for their confident display on their travels. The strong outings of their key players suggest that they’re not just reliant on a select few to clinch games, instead, they’re a well-rounded team that can grind out results when needed.

  • Batting Average: 0.256
  • Total Runs Scored: 491
  • Home Runs: 122
  • OPS: 0.759
  • ERA: 3.79
  • WHIP: 1.3

Away Record: 21-26 • Home Record: 32-20
Last 5 Games: L-W-W-W-W (3.0 runs per game)


Chicago Cubs

The Chicago Cubs have been on a roll recently, showcasing their dominance with a strong 4-1 record in their last five games. The Cubs are led by the formidable trio of Seiya Suzuki, Pete Crow-Armstrong, and Michael Busch, each of whom has brought significant offensive power to the fore.

Despite some key injuries, the Cubs have shown resilience, with their recent performances exemplifying their character and composure under pressure. Although their home record is particularly impressive, they’ve held their own on the road too, indicating they have the temerity to challenge in hostile environments as well.

  • Batting Average: 0.256
  • Total Runs Scored: 512
  • Home Runs: 142
  • OPS: 0.771
  • ERA: 3.84
  • WHIP: 1.23

Away Record: 27-23 • Home Record: 31-16
Last 5 Games: W-W-W-L-W (4.2 runs per game)


Head-to-Head History

Chicago Cubs 1–0 Boston Red Sox (Last 1 games)

  • 2025-07-18: BOS 1 @ CHC 4

Over/Under Trends

Boston Red Sox‘s recent games have seen an average of 7.4 total runs scored per game over their last 7 matchups, with 2 games going over the total line.

Chicago Cubs‘s recent games have averaged 11.8 total runs per game over their last 9 matchups, with 5 games going over the total of 9.0.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Given the Chicago Cubs’ recent dominant performance and their sustained offensive prowess, they are a formidable opponent for the Boston Red Sox. The Cubs’ depth of talent, rhythm, and burgeoning confidence build a compelling case for their ability to secure a victory.

All signs point to a victory for the Chicago Cubs at -159.

Over/Under Betting Prediction

Recent trends suggest a potential for scoring, with the Cubs averaging 11.8 total runs per game over their last 9 and the Red Sox averaging 7.4 over their last 7. While the Cubs have pushed past the total in 5 of those 9 games, Boston has stayed under in most. The total of 9.0 is also a key number in MLB betting markets. Overall, these teams are combining for roughly 9.6 runs per game recently. Our pick is Over 9.0.

Pick: Over

Bookmakers

Shop the odds at: FanDuel, Fanatics, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, MyBookie.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, Bovada, BetMGM, BetUS, BetRivers.

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